Monday, 13 July 2015

Wimbledon Men's Singles Summary + ELO Rankings 13/07/2015

With the French Open finishing today, now's the best time to have a look back at how my predictions did. These predictions were solely based on an ELO rating system that I have been updating from the start of the year.

R1: 47/64 (73%)
R2: 20/32 (63%)
R3: 15/16 (94%)
R4: 7/8 (88%)
R5: 2/4 (50%)
R6: 2/2 (100%)
R7: 0/1 (0%)

Overall: 93/127 (73.2%)

Overall, I'd say this was a good performance. Any decent predictor should achieve 66% consistently, so this score is a pretty good one. There weren't as many upsets at the tournament, and my system not only predicted some of them, it also missed some other matches but didn't collapse when things didn't go as expected.

The Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) at this tournament is one of our quarter finalists, Vasek Pospisil. With the tournament being dominated by the top seeds as expected, Vasek stood out as the lowest ranked player to make the quarter finals, beating Fabio Fognini and Victor Troicki on the way there. This run gave him 42 ELO rating points, and a new ranking of #52, 169 places higher than before the tournament started.

The Upset player of the (2) week(s) award goes to Vasek's doubles partner, Jack Sock. Unlike Vasek, Jack lost in the 1st round to the low rated Sam Groth, a loss that cost him 13 ELO rating points. This loss caused him to fall 4 places in my rankings, to a new ranking of #23.

Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Ivo Karlovic, Santiago Giraldo, Pablo Andujar, Victor Estrella Burgos and Liam Broady.

Now, the the full rankings. (± is for ranking, not rating. Some players who are new to the rankings will have artificially high ± scores as I add them to the bottom before sorting them in to their new position)


#NameELO±
1Novak Djokovic18830
2Andy Murray17910
3Roger Federer17890
4Stan Wawrinka17193
5Tomas Berdych17180
6Rafael Nadal1707-2
7Kei Nishikori1702-1
8David Ferrer16990
9Richard Gasquet16683
10Gilles Simon16651
11Milos Raonic1656-2
12Gael Monfils1647-2
13Kevin Anderson16440
14Marin Cilic16212
15Jo-Wilfried Tsonga1618-1
16John Isner1610-1
17Grigor Dimitrov16010
18Victor Troicki15910
19Nick Kyrgios15842
20Andreas Seppi15712
21David Goffin15719
22Ivo Karlovic156812
23Jack Sock1565-4
24Fernando Verdasco15654
25Guillermo Garcia-Lopez1564-5
26Roberto Bautista-Agut15647
27Leonardo Mayer15630
28Dominic Thiem1554-5
29Alexandr Dolgopolov1553-4
30Philipp Kohlschreiber1551-4
31Simone Bolelli1550-7
32Marcos Baghdatis15466
33Thomaz Bellucci1544-2
34Gilles Muller1543-5
35Bernard Tomic15437
36Sam Querrey1542-1
37Juan Monaco1538-1
38Borna Coric15361
39Tommy Robredo1535-7
40Fabio Fognini1534-3
41Jeremy Chardy15270
42Pablo Cuevas1523-2
43Nicolas Mahut15214
44Jerzy Janowicz1518-1
45Martin Klizan1517-1
46Feliciano Lopez15160
47Marcel Granollers15141
48Adrian Mannarino15144
49Steve Johnson15121
50Gerald Melzer15111
51Aljaz Bedene15112
52Vasek Pospisil1510169
53Lamine Ouahab15091
54Denis Istomin1508-9
55Nicolas Almagro1506-6
56Matteo Donati15050
57Andrey Kuznetsov15032
58Santiago Giraldo150381
59Andrey Rublev15021
60Ryan Harrison15011
61Juan Martin Del Potro15011
62Axel Michon15011
63Guido Andreozzi15011
64Gianni Mina15011
65Nicolas Jarry15002
66Renzo Olivio15002
67Pablo Andujar1500109
68Daniel Gimeno-Traver1499-13
69Arthur De Greef14991
70Nikola Mektic14991
71Rui Machado14991
72Taylor Harry Fritz14991
73Mischa Zverev14981
74Liam Broady1498195
75Benoit Paire14970
76Federico Delbonis1496-18
77John Millman14965
78Yoshihito Nishioka14952
79Lukasz Kubot14952
80Chung Hyeon1493-23
81Damir Dzumhur1493-5
82Yuki Bhambri14931
83Benjamin Balleret14932
84Germain Gigounon14932
85Jimmy Wang14925
86Daniel Garza14925
87Christian Lindell14925
88Marco Chiudinelli14925
89Brydan Klein1492181
90Teymuraz Gabashvili1491-24
91Tim Putz14915
92Alex Kuznetsov14916
93Ante Pavic14916
94Julian Reister14916
95Konstantin Kravchuk14916
96Marcos Giron14916
97Peter Polansky14916
98Radu Albot14916
99Robby Ginepri14916
100Lorenzo Giustino14916
101Frederico Ferreira Silva14916
102Bastian Trinker14916
103Federico Gaio14916
104Victor Estrella Burgos149159
105Radek Stepanek1490-36
106Roberto Carballes Baena14904
107Jan Hernych14904
108Albano Olivetti14904
109Alex Bogomolov Jr14904
110Daniel Cox14904
111Daniel Evans14904
112Daniel Smethurst14904
113Dmitry Tursunov14904
114Jan Hajek14904
115Miloslav Mecir Jr14904
116Nikolay Davydenko14904
117Potito Starace14904
118Wu Di14904
119Ramkumar Ramanathan14904
120Jabor Mohammed Ali Mutawa14904
121N Vijay Sundar Prashanth14904
122Giovanni Lapentti14904
123Gonzalo Escobar14904
124Mate Delic14904
125Toni Androic14904
126Eric Quigley14904
127Andres Molteni14904
128Mardy Fish14904
129Norbert Gombos14904
130Jaume Munar14904
131Farrukh Dustov14904
132Cem Ilkel14904
133Mikhail Ledovskikh14904
134Maximilian Marterer14904
135Thanasi Kokkinakis1489-58
136Joao Sousa1489-49
137James Duckworth1489-43
138Niels Desein14893
139Noah Rubin14893
140Mohamed Safwat14893
141Jose Rubin Statham14893
142Andre Ghem14893
143Antonio Veic14893
144Guido Pella14893
145Dennis Novikov14893
146Yassine Idmbarek14893
147Rogerio Dutra Silva14893
148Martin Fischer14893
149Marius Copil14893
150Mate Pavic14893
151Florian Mayer1488-73
152Alexander Zverev14882
153Michael Venus14884
154Fabrice Martin14884
155Alex Bolt14884
156Constant Lestienne14884
157David Vega Hernandez14884
158Illya Marchenko14884
159Donald Young1487-80
160Austin Krajicek14865
161Luke Saville1485-66
162Quentin Halys14856
163Matthew Ebden148514
164Denis Kudla148577
165Sergiy Stakhovsky1484-77
166Hiroki Moriya1484-69
167Jared Donaldson14842
168Thomas Fabbiano14842
169Jesse Huta Galung14842
170Victor Hanescu14842
171Andrea Arnaboldi14842
172Sam Groth148455
173Janko Tipsarevic1483-84
174John-Patrick Smith1482-90
175Matthias Bachinger14823
176Marsel Ilhan148229
177Jiri Vesely1481-2
178Frances Tiafoe14812
179David Guez14812
180Michael Llodra14812
181Wayne Odesnik14812
182Nikoloz Basilashvili148140
183Ivan Dodig14801
184Maxime Hamou14801
185Marco Cecchinato14802
186Stefan Kozlov14802
187Rhyne Williams14802
188Daniel Brands14802
189Michal Przysiezny14802
190Albert Montanes14802
191Michael Berrer1479-36
192Steve Darcis1479-36
193Marton Fucsovics14790
194Adrian Menendez-Maceiras14790
195James McGee14791
196Alexander Kudryavtsev14791
197Jordan Thompson14791
198Zhang Ze14791
199Robin Haase147914
200Vincent Millot1478-60
201Kimmer Coppejans1478-1
202Jurgen Melzer14780
203Elias Ymer1477-36
204Blaz Rola1476-40
205Pierre-Hugues Herbert14766
206Tommy Haas14768
207Yen-Hsun Lu1475-41
208Dusan Lajovic1474-34
209Dudi Sela1474-30
210Carlos Berlocq1474-2
211Peter Gojowczyk1473-2
212Thiemo de Bakker1473-2
213Filippo Volandri1472-1
214Horacio Zeballos1471-19
215Lucas Pouille1471-11
216Jurgen Zopp1471-1
217Pere Riba1471-1
218Guilherme Clezar1470-1
219Laurent Lokoli1470-1
220Andreas Beck1470-1
221Yuichi Sugita1469-35
222Gastao Elias1469-2
223Facundo Bagnis1468-22
224Lukas Rosol14680
225Aleksandr Nedovyesov1467-18
226Luca Vanni1466-23
227Taro Daniel1465-1
228Albert Ramos-Vinolas14659
229Blaz Kavcic14659
230Alejandro Falla1464-24
231Jarkko Nieminen14648
232Kenny de Schepper14638
233Facundo Arguello1462-5
234Bradley Klahn1462-5
235Dustin Brown146219
236Evgeny Donskoy1461-6
237Michael Russell1461-6
238Somdev Devvarman1461-6
239Frank Dancevic1460-3
240Tim Smyczek1459-15
241Andreas Haider-Maurer1456-18
242James Ward14569
243Edouard Roger-Vasselin1455-1
244Tatsuma Ito1455-1
245Go Soeda1454-11
246Kyle Edmund1453-13
247Stephane Robert1453-1
248Joao Souza1451-13
249Diego Schwartzman1447-4
250Mikhail Kukushkin1446-2
251Ernests Gulbis1445-7
252Ruben Bemelmans1444-5
253Pablo Carreno Busta1442-4
254Paul-Henri Mathieu1442-2
255Alejandro Gonzalez1442-2
256Julien Bennetau14380
257Tobias Kamke14370
258Filip Krajinovic1436-8
259Maximo Gonzalez14340
260Andrey Golubev14330
261Ricardas Berankis14312
262Malek Jaziri1430-7
263Mikhail Youzhny1428-5
264Lleyton Hewitt1421-3
265Benjamin Becker1421-3
266Igor Sijsling1419-2
267Paolo Lorenzi1412-2
268Lukas Lacko1412-2
269Marinko Matosevic1399-2
270Jan-Lennard Struff1392-2

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