2019 Wimbledon Final Update

It's time for the final of Wimbledon, and we're about to crown the winners of the second Grand Slam of the year! But before the matches start, let's take a look at some stats I calculated for the top 150 players after the jump:

Wimbledon Logo, © Wimbledon Championships

Men's Rank	± ELO
1-10	-8
11-20	-2
21-50	13
51-100	28
101-150	36

Women's Rank	± ELO
1-10	-29
11-20	-5
21-50	5
51-100	88
101-150	-32

These are the final numbers, as all 4 finalists are top 10 players.
The winners for the Men were the 101-150 group, thanks to Ugo Humbert, Tennys Sandgren and others; while the losers were the top 10 group, despite good performances from the 2 finalists and Kei Nishikori. For the Women, the best performers were the 51-100 group with Alison Riske, Karolina Muchova and Zhang Shuai performing strongly; on the other hand, the 101-150 group did badly here, with the only noteworthy performance coming from Viktorija Golubic.

Now, my final ELO ratings and estimated percentage chances of winning:

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Roger Federer	2001	51.70%
2	Novak Djokovic	1990	48.30%

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Simona Halep	1855	51.29%
2	Serena Williams	1846	48.71%

What do you think? I have 2 polls running on Twitter until the finals start, and you can also comment below.

My numbers have 🇨🇭 Roger Federer as a 52% favourite to win the #Wimbledon title over 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic. Should it be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 12, 2019

My numbers have 🇷🇴 Simona Halep as a 51% favourite to win the #Wimbledon title over 🇺🇸 Serena Williams. Should it be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 11, 2019