Next week, the season ending ATP Finals takes place, this time in Turin. After the jump, I'll take a look at the players competing this year and how I expect the tournament to go.
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| Alexander Zverev, last year's champion, © Julian Finney/Getty Images |
The 8 tennis players who will be playing the ATP Finals, coloured by the group they are in, along with their ELO ratings and my estimated chances for each player to advance from their group, to make it to the final and to win the title are:
| # | Player | ELO | Adv | Final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2042 | 83% | 61% | 40% |
| 2 | Rafael Nadal | 1980 | 83% | 49% | 27% |
| 3 | Daniil Medvedev | 1879 | 50% | 25% | 11% |
| 4 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1840 | 39% | 18% | 7% |
| 5 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 1810 | 46% | 16% | 5% |
| 6 | Andrey Rublev | 1791 | 28% | 11% | 3% |
| 7 | Casper Ruud | 1776 | 38% | 11% | 3% |
| 8 | Taylor Fritz | 1755 | 33% | 9% | 3% |
The Red Group is the tougher of the 2 groups, as it has 3 of the top 4 players, including the ELO #1 in it, while the Green Group has the #2 ranked player in it.
(NOTE: Because the finalists could come from the same group or both groups, the numbers for the winner are a best estimate)
