Monday, 8 June 2015

RG Men's Singles Summary + ELO Rankings 08/06/2015

With the French Open finishing today, now's the best time to have a look back at how my predictions did. These predictions were solely based on an ELO rating system that I have been updating from the start of the year.

R1: 47/64 (73%)
R2: 20/32 (63%)
R3: 15/16 (94%)
R4: 7/8 (88%)
R5: 2/4 (50%)
R6: 2/2 (100%)
R7: 0/1 (0%)

Overall: 93/127 (73.2%)

Overall, I'd say this was a good performance. Any decent predictor should achieve 66% consistently, so this score is a pretty good one. There weren't as many upsets at the tournament, and my system not only predicted some of them, it also missed some other matches but didn't collapse when things didn't go as expected.

The Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) at this tournament is the winner, Stan Wawrinka. Any time you win a tournament, you've done well. It's even better when you defeat the ELO #3 and the ELO #1 on your way to the title. The 59 points gained by Stan here led to him gaining 3 places in my rankings to a new ranking of #5.

The Upset player of the (2) week(s) award goes to Grigor Dimitrov. He may have had a slightly tougher draw than expected, but that isn't an excuse for losing when those ranked around you are winning. The 12 points Grigor lost here caused him to fall 2 places in my rankings to #15.

Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Jeremy Chardy, Steve Johnson, Benoit Paire, Andrey Kuznetsov and Teymuraz Gabashvili

Now, the the full rankings. (± is for ranking, not rating. Some players who are new to the rankings will have artificially high ± scores as I add them to the bottom before sorting them in to their new position)


#NameELO±
1Novak Djokovic18530
2Andy Murray17590
3Roger Federer17420
4Tomas Berdych17220
5Stan Wawrinka17183
6David Ferrer17140
7Kei Nishikori1712-2
8Rafael Nadal1709-1
9Milos Raonic16530
10Gael Monfils16430
11Richard Gasquet16350
12Gilles Simon16250
13Jo-Wilfried Tsonga16166
14John Isner16030
15Grigor Dimitrov1599-2
16Kevin Anderson15960
17Marin Cilic15951
18Guillermo Garcia-Lopez1582-3
19Jack Sock15784
20Dominic Thiem1577-3
21Nick Kyrgios15701
22Roberto Bautista-Agut1568-2
23Thomaz Bellucci1561-2
24Fernando Verdasco15510
25Juan Monaco15511
26Tommy Robredo1550-1
27Leonardo Mayer15496
28Philipp Kohlschreiber1548-1
29Pablo Cuevas15486
30Simone Bolelli15487
31David Goffin15443
32Jeremy Chardy154317
33Victor Troicki1542-4
34Borna Coric15415
35Fabio Fognini1538-3
36Martin Klizan15362
37Alexandr Dolgopolov1535-9
38Andreas Seppi1534-8
39Bernard Tomic1532-3
40Feliciano Lopez1530-9
41Daniel Gimeno-Traver15253
42Nicolas Almagro15253
43Steve Johnson152511
44Gilles Muller15204
45Ivo Karlovic1516-5
46Jerzy Janowicz15161
47Donald Young1515-6
48Sam Querrey1512-5
49Marcel Granollers15126
50Adrian Mannarino1511-8
51Gerald Melzer15111
52Aljaz Bedene1510-6
53Lamine Ouahab15090
54Benoit Paire150934
55Matteo Donati15051
56Chung Hyeon15042
57Federico Delbonis1503-6
58Sergiy Stakhovsky1503-1
59Andrey Kuznetsov150382
60Andrey Rublev15020
61Victor Estrella Burgos1501-11
62Marcos Baghdatis15010
63Ryan Harrison15010
64Juan Martin Del Potro15010
65Axel Michon15010
66Guido Andreozzi15010
67Gianni Mina15010
68Joao Sousa150112
69Teymuraz Gabashvili1501147
70Nicolas Jarry1500-2
71Renzo Olivio1500-2
72Radek Stepanek150010
73Arthur De Greef1499-2
74Nikola Mektic1499-2
75Rui Machado1499-2
76Santiago Giraldo14990
77Pablo Andujar149990
78Damir Dzumhur149796
79Yoshihito Nishioka1495-9
80Lukasz Kubot1495-1
81John Millman14940
82Mischa Zverev14941
83Jiri Vesely1493-24
84Yuki Bhambri14930
85John-Patrick Smith14930
86Benjamin Balleret14930
87Germain Gigounon1493177
88Janko Tipsarevic1492-1
89Jimmy Wang14920
90Daniel Garza14920
91Thanasi Kokkinakis1492122
92Christian Lindell1492173
93James Duckworth1491-32
94Luke Saville1491-3
95Tim Putz1491-3
96Hiroki Moriya1491-3
97Alex Kuznetsov1491-3
98Ante Pavic1491-3
99Jared Donaldson1491-3
100Julian Reister1491-3
101Konstantin Kravchuk1491-3
102Marcos Giron1491-3
103Peter Polansky1491-3
104Radu Albot1491-3
105Robby Ginepri1491-3
106Lorenzo Giustino1491-3
107Frederico Ferreira Silva1491-3
108Bastian Trinker1491-3
109Federico Gaio1491-3
110Roberto Carballes Baena1490-2
111Jan Hernych1490-2
112Albano Olivetti1490-2
113Alex Bogomolov Jr1490-2
114Daniel Cox1490-2
115Daniel Evans1490-2
116Daniel Smethurst1490-2
117Dmitry Tursunov1490-2
118Jan Hajek1490-2
119Marco Chiudinelli1490-2
120Miloslav Mecir Jr1490-2
121Nikolay Davydenko1490-2
122Potito Starace1490-2
123Wu Di1490-2
124Ramkumar Ramanathan1490-2
125Jabor Mohammed Ali Mutawa1490-2
126N Vijay Sundar Prashanth1490-2
127Giovanni Lapentti1490-2
128Gonzalo Escobar1490-2
129Mate Delic1490-2
130Toni Androic1490-2
131Eric Quigley1490-2
132Andres Molteni1490-2
133Mardy Fish1490-2
134Norbert Gombos1490-2
135Jaume Munar1490-2
136Farrukh Dustov1490-1
137Cem Ilkel1490-1
138Mikhail Ledovskikh1490-1
139Vincent Millot14894
140Niels Desein14894
141Noah Rubin14894
142Mohamed Safwat14894
143Jose Rubin Statham14894
144Andre Ghem14894
145Antonio Veic14894
146Guido Pella14895
147Dennis Novikov14895
148Yassine Idmbarek14895
149Rogerio Dutra Silva14895
150Martin Fischer14895
151Michael Berrer1488-77
152Steve Darcis1488-77
153Michael Venus14884
154Fabrice Martin14885
155Alex Bolt14885
156Constant Lestienne14885
157David Vega Hernandez14885
158Blaz Rola14867
159Austin Krajicek14867
160Andreas Haider-Maurer1485-83
161Elias Ymer1485-83
162Marsel Ilhan1485-24
163Quentin Halys1485-23
164Thomas Fabbiano14844
165Jesse Huta Galung14844
166Victor Hanescu14844
167Andrea Arnaboldi148411
168Dusan Lajovic148420
169Peter Gojowczyk14832
170Florian Mayer1482-63
171Matthew Ebden14822
172Frances Tiafoe1481-33
173David Guez14812
174Michael Llodra14812
175Wayne Odesnik14812
176Lukas Rosol148151
177Ivan Dodig1480-43
178Maxime Hamou1480-22
179Yuichi Sugita14801
180Marco Cecchinato14801
181Stefan Kozlov14801
182Rhyne Williams14801
183Daniel Brands14801
184Michal Przysiezny14801
185Tommy Haas14801
186Albert Montanes14801
187Dudi Sela148015
188Matthias Bachinger1479-46
189Marton Fucsovics14792
190Adrian Menendez-Maceiras14792
191Horacio Zeballos14792
192James McGee14792
193Alexander Kudryavtsev14792
194Jordan Thompson14792
195Zhang Ze14792
196Kimmer Coppejans1478-46
197Vasek Pospisil1478-39
198Facundo Bagnis14782
199Luca Vanni1477-36
200Lucas Pouille1477-28
201Jarkko Nieminen1477-12
202Illya Marchenko1476-38
203Jurgen Melzer14762
204Marius Copil14750
205Alejandro Falla1474-7
206Aleksandr Nedovyesov14741
207Carlos Berlocq147412
208Thiemo de Bakker14731
209Pierre-Hugues Herbert14732
210Alexander Zverev14724
211Filippo Volandri14724
212Yen-Hsun Lu147212
213Jurgen Zopp14714
214Pere Riba14714
215Kyle Edmund147110
216Blaz Kavcic1470-37
217Guilherme Clezar14703
218Laurent Lokoli14703
219Andreas Beck14703
220Gastao Elias1469-30
221Nikoloz Basilashvili1468-22
222Albert Ramos-Vinolas1468-21
223Go Soeda1468-20
224Tim Smyczek1467-18
225Kenny de Schepper14671
226Taro Daniel1465-16
227Diego Schwartzman146312
228Mikhail Kukushkin1462-16
229Facundo Arguello1462-1
230Bradley Klahn14622
231Nicolas Mahut146217
232Ruben Bemelmans1461-24
233Evgeny Donskoy14611
234Michael Russell14611
235Somdev Devvarman14611
236Joao Souza1460-13
237Frank Dancevic14601
238Denis Istomin1458-9
239James Ward14581
240Denis Kudla14571
241Pablo Carreno Busta14566
242Edouard Roger-Vasselin1455-5
243Tatsuma Ito1454-12
244Stephane Robert1453-14
245Mikhail Youzhny1452-12
246Paul-Henri Mathieu1449-4
247Ernests Gulbis14472
248Robin Haase1446-5
249Lleyton Hewitt14461
250Sam Groth1444-5
251Filip Krajinovic1444-5
252Ricardas Berankis1443-8
253Alejandro Gonzalez14420
254Dustin Brown14391
255Julien Bennetau14381
256Tobias Kamke14371
257Benjamin Becker14366
258Malek Jaziri1435-7
259Maximo Gonzalez1434-7
260Andrey Golubev1433-6
261Lukas Lacko1428-2
262Igor Sijsling1426-4
263Paolo Lorenzi1420-3
264Marinko Matosevic1414-3
265Jan-Lennard Struff1413-3

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