Monday, 8 June 2015

RG Women's Singles Summary + ELO Rankings 08/06/2015

With the French Open finishing today, now's the best time to have a look back at how my predictions did. These predictions were solely based on an ELO rating system that I have been updating from the start of the year.

R1: 44/64 (69%)
R2: 22/32 (69%)
R3: 12/16 (75%)
R4: 3/7 (43%)
R5: 3/4 (75%)
R6: 2/2 (100%)
R7: 1/1 (100%)

Overall: 87/126 (69.0%)

Overall, I'd say this was a par performance. Any decent predictor should achieve 66% consistently, so slightly higher than that is OK in my opinion. There were quite a lot of upsets at the tournament, and my system not only predicted some of them, it also missed some other matches but didn't collapse when things didn't go as expected.

The Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) at this tournament is finalist Lucie Safarova. After beating ELO #3 Maria Sharapova in the 4th round, Lucie made it all the way to the final without losing a single set, a fantastic achievement that gave her 48 ELO points and a new ranking of #7 in my rankings, 6 places higher than before the tournament.

The Upset player of the (2) week(s) award goes to Agnieszka Radwanska. While she wasn't the highest rated player to lose in the 1st round at Roland Garros, the player she lost to was ranked 245 before the tournament started, someone that should have been easy for Agnieszka to defeat, but she lost in 3 sets. This loss caused her to lose 14 ELO points, and she fell to #23 in the rankings, 6 places lower than before the tournament.

With this tournament, the Women's #1 has changed again. Serena Williams won the tournament to take the #1 spot from Simona Halep, who lost earlier than expected here.

Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Ana Ivanovic, Tsvetana Pironkova, Julia Gorges, Alison Van Uytvanck and Andreea Mitu.

Now, the the full rankings. (± is for ranking, not rating. Some players who are new to the rankings will have artificially high ± scores as I add them to the bottom before sorting them in to their new position)


#NameELO±
1Serena Williams17611
2Simona Halep1717-1
3Maria Sharapova17060
4Carla Suarez Navarro16900
5Timea Bacsinszky16623
6Petra Kvitova1660-1
7Lucie Safarova16386
8Caroline Wozniacki1636-2
9Victoria Azarenka16320
10Karolina Pliskova1624-3
11Angelique Kerber1624-1
12Sara Errani16114
13Elina Svitolina16042
14Ekaterina Makarova1603-2
15Venus Williams1602-4
16Garbine Muguruza15916
17Ana Ivanovic158713
18Sloane Stephens15827
19Flavia Pennetta15805
20Andrea Petkovic1577-2
21Eugenie Bouchard1575-7
22Irina-Camelia Begu1574-2
23Agnieszka Radwanska1568-6
24Dominika Cibulkova1568-5
25Samantha Stosur15681
26Li Na1563-3
27Madison Keys15612
28Jelena Jankovic1553-7
29Daria Gavrilova1552-1
30Lucie Hradecka15481
31Sabine Lisicki15444
32Alize Cornet15447
33Caroline Garcia1542-6
34Kristina Mladenovic15403
35Barbora Strycova1533-3
36Anna Schmiedlova1526-3
37Svetlana Kuznetsova1526-1
38Peng Shuai1524-4
39Alexandra Dulgheru15203
40Johanna Larsson1518-2
41CiCi Bellis15182
42Mariana Duque Marino15182
43Teliana Pereira15172
44Madison Brengle1514-4
45Tsvetana Pironkova151423
46Julia Gorges1514111
47Zarina Diyas1513-1
48Danka Kovinic1513-1
49Yaroslava Shvedova1512-8
50Sesil Karatantcheva15112
51Beatriz Haddad Maia1510-2
52Carina Witthoft15104
53Elizaveta Kulichkova15090
54Heather Watson15074
55Irina Falconi150631
56Karin Knapp1505-8
57Belinda Bencic15052
58Camila Giorgi15053
59Alison Van Uytvanck1504154
60Denisa Allertova15030
61Paula Badosa Gibert15031
62Alexandra Panova15031
63Michelle Larcher de Brito15031
64Kurumi Nara15036
65Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova1502-14
66Lara Arruabarrena1502-12
67Chang Kai-Chen1502-1
68Marina Melnikova1502-1
69Aliaksandra Sasnovich15010
70Ayumi Morita15002
71Claire Feuerstein15002
72Galina Voskoboeva15002
73Naomi Broady15002
74Vesna Dolonc15002
75Victoria Duval15002
76Sara Sorribes Tormo15002
77Veronica Cepede Royg1499-27
78Roberta Vinci1499-23
79Gabriela Ce14991
80Elena Bogdan14991
81Ajla Tomljanovic14988
82Daniela Hantuchova1497-25
83Virgine Razzano149736
84Andreea Mitu1497107
85Nicole Vaidisova14962
86Julia Glushko14962
87Lourdes Domingues Lino14959
88Hseih Su-wei14934
89Danielle Collins14934
90Wang Yafan14934
91Zhu Lin14934
92Laura Siegemund14935
93Rebecca Peterson14935
94Elena Vesnina149379
95Lesia Tsurenko1492-30
96Natalia Vikhlyantseva14925
97Indy De Vroome14925
98Samantha Murray14925
99Sachia Vickery14925
100Darya Kasatkina14926
101Varvara Lepchenko1491-30
102Yvonne Meusburger14918
103Anett Kontaveit14919
104Tamira Paszek14919
105Ana Bogdan14919
106Edina Gallovits-Hall14919
107Alberta Brianti14919
108Maria Irigoyen14919
109Kristina Schmiedlova14919
110Ana Konjuh149136
111Magda Linette1490-27
112Anastasia Rodionova14908
113Anabel Medina Garrigues14908
114Iveta Melzer149010
115Laura Robson149010
116Sofia Shapatava149011
117Tadeja Majeric149011
118Tang Haochen149011
119Tara Moore149011
120Nicha Lertpitaksinchai149011
121Misa Eguchi149011
122Klaartje Liebens149011
123Paula Cristina Goncalves149011
124Marcela Zacarias149011
125Marie Bouzkova149011
126Jessica Pegula149011
127Nigina Abduraimova149011
128Maria Paulina Perez Garcia149011
129Maria Herazo Gonzalez149011
130Yuliana Lizarazo149011
131Nastja Kolar149011
132Rita Atik149011
133Manon Arcangioli1490114
134Margarita Gasparyan1490114
135Jarmila Gajdosova1489-56
136Coco Vandeweghe1489-54
137Kristina Kucova14898
138Stephanie Foretz14899
139Tamarine Tanasugarn14899
140Montserrat Gonzalez14899
141Jawairiah Noordin14899
142Junri Namigata14899
143Magdalena Frech14899
144Cindy Burger14899
145Nastassja Burnett14899
146Antonia Lottner14899
147Tatjana Maria1488-64
148Mandy Minella14888
149Yanina Wickmayer1487-59
150Kaia Kanepi1487-43
151Andrea Hlavackova1486-29
152Kateryna Bondarenko14866
153Vitalia Diatchenko148613
154Tereza Smitkova148518
155Lauren Davis1484-70
156Casey Dellacqua1484-65
157Vera Zvonareva14842
158Maria Kirilenko14843
159Amandine Hesse148411
160Alison Riske1483-16
161Kateryna Kozlova14831
162Ksenia Pervak14831
163Oceane Dodin1482-64
164Christina McHale1482-64
165Dinah Pfizenmaier1482-56
166Paula Ormaechea1482-1
167Alexa Glatch1481-62
168Katerina Siniakova1481-60
169Fiona Ferro1481-46
170Francoise Abanda1481-3
171Zheng Jie1481-3
172Alisa Kleybanova1481-3
173Luksika Kumkhum1481-2
174Yulia Putintseva148111
175Alize Lim1480-64
176Mathilde Johansson1480-50
177Xu Yifan1480-3
178Estrella Cabeza Candela1480-3
179Kristyna Pliskova1480-3
180Paula Kania1479-16
181Gabriela Dabrowski1479-4
182Bojana Jovanovski1479-4
183Ana Sofia Sanchez1479-3
184Arina Rodionova1479-3
185Ons Jabeur1479-2
186Renata Voracova1478-2
187Richel Hogenkamp14760
188An-Sophie Mestach14760
189Misaki Doi14761
190Duan Yingying1475-1
191Taylor Townsend1474-31
192Aleksandra Wozniak14731
193Sharon Fichman14731
194Vania King14731
195Nadiia Kichenok14722
196Urszula Radwanska14722
197Ashleigh Barty14722
198Maryna Zanevska14712
199Yuliya Beygelzimer14713
200Alexandra Cadantu14713
201Nicole Gibbs1470-22
202Johanna Konta1470-20
203Jovana Jaksic14702
204Chan Yung-jan14703
205Evgeniya Rodina1469-9
206Cagla Buyukakcay14693
207Storm Sanders14693
208Aleksandra Krunic1467-22
209Alla Kudryavtseva14673
210Anna-Lena Friedsam146615
211Sorana Cirstea14654
212Polona Hercog14656
213Louisa Chirico1464-12
214Anna Tatishvili14642
215Romina Oprandi14642
216Petra Cetkovska1463-24
217Zheng Saisai1463-13
218Katarzyna Piter14632
219Donna Vekic146215
220Klara Koukalova1461-12
221Timea Babos1461-10
222Olivia Rogowska1460-16
223Marina Erakovic1460-9
224Magdalena Rybarikova14603
225Monica Niculescu1459-6
226Mirjana Lucic-Baroni145715
227Grace Min14552
228Shahar Pe'er14542
229Monica Puig1453-8
230Kiki Bertens1452-6
231Mona Barthel1451-9
232Kirsten Flipkens1451-9
233Wang Qiang1446-7
234Bethanie Mattek-Sands1445-3
235Francesca Schiavone14459
236Pauline Parmentier1444-8
237Zhang Shuai1443-5
238Chanelle Scheepers1443-2
239Patricia Mayr-Achleitner1442-2
240Annika Beck14415
241Petra Martic1439-8
242Olga Govortsova1439-4
243Stefanie Vogele1436-8
244Jana Cepelova1436-4
245Kimiko Date-Krumm1435-3
246Maria Teresa Torro Flor1433-7
247Shelby Rogers1428-4
248Silvia Soler Espinosa1420-2

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