R1: 44/64 (69%)
R2: 22/32 (69%)
R3: 12/16 (75%)
R4: 3/7 (43%)
R5: 3/4 (75%)
R6: 2/2 (100%)
R7: 1/1 (100%)
Overall: 87/126 (69.0%)
Overall, I'd say this was a par performance. Any decent predictor should achieve 66% consistently, so slightly higher than that is OK in my opinion. There were quite a lot of upsets at the tournament, and my system not only predicted some of them, it also missed some other matches but didn't collapse when things didn't go as expected.
Overall, I'd say this was a par performance. Any decent predictor should achieve 66% consistently, so slightly higher than that is OK in my opinion. There were quite a lot of upsets at the tournament, and my system not only predicted some of them, it also missed some other matches but didn't collapse when things didn't go as expected.
The Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) at this tournament is finalist Lucie Safarova. After beating ELO #3 Maria Sharapova in the 4th round, Lucie made it all the way to the final without losing a single set, a fantastic achievement that gave her 48 ELO points and a new ranking of #7 in my rankings, 6 places higher than before the tournament.
The Upset player of the (2) week(s) award goes to Agnieszka Radwanska. While she wasn't the highest rated player to lose in the 1st round at Roland Garros, the player she lost to was ranked 245 before the tournament started, someone that should have been easy for Agnieszka to defeat, but she lost in 3 sets. This loss caused her to lose 14 ELO points, and she fell to #23 in the rankings, 6 places lower than before the tournament.
With this tournament, the Women's #1 has changed again. Serena Williams won the tournament to take the #1 spot from Simona Halep, who lost earlier than expected here.
Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Ana Ivanovic, Tsvetana Pironkova, Julia Gorges, Alison Van Uytvanck and Andreea Mitu.
Now, the the full rankings. (± is for ranking, not rating. Some players who are new to the rankings will have artificially high ± scores as I add them to the bottom before sorting them in to their new position)| # | Name | ELO | ± |
| 1 | Serena Williams | 1761 | 1 |
| 2 | Simona Halep | 1717 | -1 |
| 3 | Maria Sharapova | 1706 | 0 |
| 4 | Carla Suarez Navarro | 1690 | 0 |
| 5 | Timea Bacsinszky | 1662 | 3 |
| 6 | Petra Kvitova | 1660 | -1 |
| 7 | Lucie Safarova | 1638 | 6 |
| 8 | Caroline Wozniacki | 1636 | -2 |
| 9 | Victoria Azarenka | 1632 | 0 |
| 10 | Karolina Pliskova | 1624 | -3 |
| 11 | Angelique Kerber | 1624 | -1 |
| 12 | Sara Errani | 1611 | 4 |
| 13 | Elina Svitolina | 1604 | 2 |
| 14 | Ekaterina Makarova | 1603 | -2 |
| 15 | Venus Williams | 1602 | -4 |
| 16 | Garbine Muguruza | 1591 | 6 |
| 17 | Ana Ivanovic | 1587 | 13 |
| 18 | Sloane Stephens | 1582 | 7 |
| 19 | Flavia Pennetta | 1580 | 5 |
| 20 | Andrea Petkovic | 1577 | -2 |
| 21 | Eugenie Bouchard | 1575 | -7 |
| 22 | Irina-Camelia Begu | 1574 | -2 |
| 23 | Agnieszka Radwanska | 1568 | -6 |
| 24 | Dominika Cibulkova | 1568 | -5 |
| 25 | Samantha Stosur | 1568 | 1 |
| 26 | Li Na | 1563 | -3 |
| 27 | Madison Keys | 1561 | 2 |
| 28 | Jelena Jankovic | 1553 | -7 |
| 29 | Daria Gavrilova | 1552 | -1 |
| 30 | Lucie Hradecka | 1548 | 1 |
| 31 | Sabine Lisicki | 1544 | 4 |
| 32 | Alize Cornet | 1544 | 7 |
| 33 | Caroline Garcia | 1542 | -6 |
| 34 | Kristina Mladenovic | 1540 | 3 |
| 35 | Barbora Strycova | 1533 | -3 |
| 36 | Anna Schmiedlova | 1526 | -3 |
| 37 | Svetlana Kuznetsova | 1526 | -1 |
| 38 | Peng Shuai | 1524 | -4 |
| 39 | Alexandra Dulgheru | 1520 | 3 |
| 40 | Johanna Larsson | 1518 | -2 |
| 41 | CiCi Bellis | 1518 | 2 |
| 42 | Mariana Duque Marino | 1518 | 2 |
| 43 | Teliana Pereira | 1517 | 2 |
| 44 | Madison Brengle | 1514 | -4 |
| 45 | Tsvetana Pironkova | 1514 | 23 |
| 46 | Julia Gorges | 1514 | 111 |
| 47 | Zarina Diyas | 1513 | -1 |
| 48 | Danka Kovinic | 1513 | -1 |
| 49 | Yaroslava Shvedova | 1512 | -8 |
| 50 | Sesil Karatantcheva | 1511 | 2 |
| 51 | Beatriz Haddad Maia | 1510 | -2 |
| 52 | Carina Witthoft | 1510 | 4 |
| 53 | Elizaveta Kulichkova | 1509 | 0 |
| 54 | Heather Watson | 1507 | 4 |
| 55 | Irina Falconi | 1506 | 31 |
| 56 | Karin Knapp | 1505 | -8 |
| 57 | Belinda Bencic | 1505 | 2 |
| 58 | Camila Giorgi | 1505 | 3 |
| 59 | Alison Van Uytvanck | 1504 | 154 |
| 60 | Denisa Allertova | 1503 | 0 |
| 61 | Paula Badosa Gibert | 1503 | 1 |
| 62 | Alexandra Panova | 1503 | 1 |
| 63 | Michelle Larcher de Brito | 1503 | 1 |
| 64 | Kurumi Nara | 1503 | 6 |
| 65 | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 1502 | -14 |
| 66 | Lara Arruabarrena | 1502 | -12 |
| 67 | Chang Kai-Chen | 1502 | -1 |
| 68 | Marina Melnikova | 1502 | -1 |
| 69 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1501 | 0 |
| 70 | Ayumi Morita | 1500 | 2 |
| 71 | Claire Feuerstein | 1500 | 2 |
| 72 | Galina Voskoboeva | 1500 | 2 |
| 73 | Naomi Broady | 1500 | 2 |
| 74 | Vesna Dolonc | 1500 | 2 |
| 75 | Victoria Duval | 1500 | 2 |
| 76 | Sara Sorribes Tormo | 1500 | 2 |
| 77 | Veronica Cepede Royg | 1499 | -27 |
| 78 | Roberta Vinci | 1499 | -23 |
| 79 | Gabriela Ce | 1499 | 1 |
| 80 | Elena Bogdan | 1499 | 1 |
| 81 | Ajla Tomljanovic | 1498 | 8 |
| 82 | Daniela Hantuchova | 1497 | -25 |
| 83 | Virgine Razzano | 1497 | 36 |
| 84 | Andreea Mitu | 1497 | 107 |
| 85 | Nicole Vaidisova | 1496 | 2 |
| 86 | Julia Glushko | 1496 | 2 |
| 87 | Lourdes Domingues Lino | 1495 | 9 |
| 88 | Hseih Su-wei | 1493 | 4 |
| 89 | Danielle Collins | 1493 | 4 |
| 90 | Wang Yafan | 1493 | 4 |
| 91 | Zhu Lin | 1493 | 4 |
| 92 | Laura Siegemund | 1493 | 5 |
| 93 | Rebecca Peterson | 1493 | 5 |
| 94 | Elena Vesnina | 1493 | 79 |
| 95 | Lesia Tsurenko | 1492 | -30 |
| 96 | Natalia Vikhlyantseva | 1492 | 5 |
| 97 | Indy De Vroome | 1492 | 5 |
| 98 | Samantha Murray | 1492 | 5 |
| 99 | Sachia Vickery | 1492 | 5 |
| 100 | Darya Kasatkina | 1492 | 6 |
| 101 | Varvara Lepchenko | 1491 | -30 |
| 102 | Yvonne Meusburger | 1491 | 8 |
| 103 | Anett Kontaveit | 1491 | 9 |
| 104 | Tamira Paszek | 1491 | 9 |
| 105 | Ana Bogdan | 1491 | 9 |
| 106 | Edina Gallovits-Hall | 1491 | 9 |
| 107 | Alberta Brianti | 1491 | 9 |
| 108 | Maria Irigoyen | 1491 | 9 |
| 109 | Kristina Schmiedlova | 1491 | 9 |
| 110 | Ana Konjuh | 1491 | 36 |
| 111 | Magda Linette | 1490 | -27 |
| 112 | Anastasia Rodionova | 1490 | 8 |
| 113 | Anabel Medina Garrigues | 1490 | 8 |
| 114 | Iveta Melzer | 1490 | 10 |
| 115 | Laura Robson | 1490 | 10 |
| 116 | Sofia Shapatava | 1490 | 11 |
| 117 | Tadeja Majeric | 1490 | 11 |
| 118 | Tang Haochen | 1490 | 11 |
| 119 | Tara Moore | 1490 | 11 |
| 120 | Nicha Lertpitaksinchai | 1490 | 11 |
| 121 | Misa Eguchi | 1490 | 11 |
| 122 | Klaartje Liebens | 1490 | 11 |
| 123 | Paula Cristina Goncalves | 1490 | 11 |
| 124 | Marcela Zacarias | 1490 | 11 |
| 125 | Marie Bouzkova | 1490 | 11 |
| 126 | Jessica Pegula | 1490 | 11 |
| 127 | Nigina Abduraimova | 1490 | 11 |
| 128 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia | 1490 | 11 |
| 129 | Maria Herazo Gonzalez | 1490 | 11 |
| 130 | Yuliana Lizarazo | 1490 | 11 |
| 131 | Nastja Kolar | 1490 | 11 |
| 132 | Rita Atik | 1490 | 11 |
| 133 | Manon Arcangioli | 1490 | 114 |
| 134 | Margarita Gasparyan | 1490 | 114 |
| 135 | Jarmila Gajdosova | 1489 | -56 |
| 136 | Coco Vandeweghe | 1489 | -54 |
| 137 | Kristina Kucova | 1489 | 8 |
| 138 | Stephanie Foretz | 1489 | 9 |
| 139 | Tamarine Tanasugarn | 1489 | 9 |
| 140 | Montserrat Gonzalez | 1489 | 9 |
| 141 | Jawairiah Noordin | 1489 | 9 |
| 142 | Junri Namigata | 1489 | 9 |
| 143 | Magdalena Frech | 1489 | 9 |
| 144 | Cindy Burger | 1489 | 9 |
| 145 | Nastassja Burnett | 1489 | 9 |
| 146 | Antonia Lottner | 1489 | 9 |
| 147 | Tatjana Maria | 1488 | -64 |
| 148 | Mandy Minella | 1488 | 8 |
| 149 | Yanina Wickmayer | 1487 | -59 |
| 150 | Kaia Kanepi | 1487 | -43 |
| 151 | Andrea Hlavackova | 1486 | -29 |
| 152 | Kateryna Bondarenko | 1486 | 6 |
| 153 | Vitalia Diatchenko | 1486 | 13 |
| 154 | Tereza Smitkova | 1485 | 18 |
| 155 | Lauren Davis | 1484 | -70 |
| 156 | Casey Dellacqua | 1484 | -65 |
| 157 | Vera Zvonareva | 1484 | 2 |
| 158 | Maria Kirilenko | 1484 | 3 |
| 159 | Amandine Hesse | 1484 | 11 |
| 160 | Alison Riske | 1483 | -16 |
| 161 | Kateryna Kozlova | 1483 | 1 |
| 162 | Ksenia Pervak | 1483 | 1 |
| 163 | Oceane Dodin | 1482 | -64 |
| 164 | Christina McHale | 1482 | -64 |
| 165 | Dinah Pfizenmaier | 1482 | -56 |
| 166 | Paula Ormaechea | 1482 | -1 |
| 167 | Alexa Glatch | 1481 | -62 |
| 168 | Katerina Siniakova | 1481 | -60 |
| 169 | Fiona Ferro | 1481 | -46 |
| 170 | Francoise Abanda | 1481 | -3 |
| 171 | Zheng Jie | 1481 | -3 |
| 172 | Alisa Kleybanova | 1481 | -3 |
| 173 | Luksika Kumkhum | 1481 | -2 |
| 174 | Yulia Putintseva | 1481 | 11 |
| 175 | Alize Lim | 1480 | -64 |
| 176 | Mathilde Johansson | 1480 | -50 |
| 177 | Xu Yifan | 1480 | -3 |
| 178 | Estrella Cabeza Candela | 1480 | -3 |
| 179 | Kristyna Pliskova | 1480 | -3 |
| 180 | Paula Kania | 1479 | -16 |
| 181 | Gabriela Dabrowski | 1479 | -4 |
| 182 | Bojana Jovanovski | 1479 | -4 |
| 183 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | 1479 | -3 |
| 184 | Arina Rodionova | 1479 | -3 |
| 185 | Ons Jabeur | 1479 | -2 |
| 186 | Renata Voracova | 1478 | -2 |
| 187 | Richel Hogenkamp | 1476 | 0 |
| 188 | An-Sophie Mestach | 1476 | 0 |
| 189 | Misaki Doi | 1476 | 1 |
| 190 | Duan Yingying | 1475 | -1 |
| 191 | Taylor Townsend | 1474 | -31 |
| 192 | Aleksandra Wozniak | 1473 | 1 |
| 193 | Sharon Fichman | 1473 | 1 |
| 194 | Vania King | 1473 | 1 |
| 195 | Nadiia Kichenok | 1472 | 2 |
| 196 | Urszula Radwanska | 1472 | 2 |
| 197 | Ashleigh Barty | 1472 | 2 |
| 198 | Maryna Zanevska | 1471 | 2 |
| 199 | Yuliya Beygelzimer | 1471 | 3 |
| 200 | Alexandra Cadantu | 1471 | 3 |
| 201 | Nicole Gibbs | 1470 | -22 |
| 202 | Johanna Konta | 1470 | -20 |
| 203 | Jovana Jaksic | 1470 | 2 |
| 204 | Chan Yung-jan | 1470 | 3 |
| 205 | Evgeniya Rodina | 1469 | -9 |
| 206 | Cagla Buyukakcay | 1469 | 3 |
| 207 | Storm Sanders | 1469 | 3 |
| 208 | Aleksandra Krunic | 1467 | -22 |
| 209 | Alla Kudryavtseva | 1467 | 3 |
| 210 | Anna-Lena Friedsam | 1466 | 15 |
| 211 | Sorana Cirstea | 1465 | 4 |
| 212 | Polona Hercog | 1465 | 6 |
| 213 | Louisa Chirico | 1464 | -12 |
| 214 | Anna Tatishvili | 1464 | 2 |
| 215 | Romina Oprandi | 1464 | 2 |
| 216 | Petra Cetkovska | 1463 | -24 |
| 217 | Zheng Saisai | 1463 | -13 |
| 218 | Katarzyna Piter | 1463 | 2 |
| 219 | Donna Vekic | 1462 | 15 |
| 220 | Klara Koukalova | 1461 | -12 |
| 221 | Timea Babos | 1461 | -10 |
| 222 | Olivia Rogowska | 1460 | -16 |
| 223 | Marina Erakovic | 1460 | -9 |
| 224 | Magdalena Rybarikova | 1460 | 3 |
| 225 | Monica Niculescu | 1459 | -6 |
| 226 | Mirjana Lucic-Baroni | 1457 | 15 |
| 227 | Grace Min | 1455 | 2 |
| 228 | Shahar Pe'er | 1454 | 2 |
| 229 | Monica Puig | 1453 | -8 |
| 230 | Kiki Bertens | 1452 | -6 |
| 231 | Mona Barthel | 1451 | -9 |
| 232 | Kirsten Flipkens | 1451 | -9 |
| 233 | Wang Qiang | 1446 | -7 |
| 234 | Bethanie Mattek-Sands | 1445 | -3 |
| 235 | Francesca Schiavone | 1445 | 9 |
| 236 | Pauline Parmentier | 1444 | -8 |
| 237 | Zhang Shuai | 1443 | -5 |
| 238 | Chanelle Scheepers | 1443 | -2 |
| 239 | Patricia Mayr-Achleitner | 1442 | -2 |
| 240 | Annika Beck | 1441 | 5 |
| 241 | Petra Martic | 1439 | -8 |
| 242 | Olga Govortsova | 1439 | -4 |
| 243 | Stefanie Vogele | 1436 | -8 |
| 244 | Jana Cepelova | 1436 | -4 |
| 245 | Kimiko Date-Krumm | 1435 | -3 |
| 246 | Maria Teresa Torro Flor | 1433 | -7 |
| 247 | Shelby Rogers | 1428 | -4 |
| 248 | Silvia Soler Espinosa | 1420 | -2 |
