2018 French Open Final Update

It's the final of the French Open, and we're about to crown the winners of the second Grand Slam of the year! But before the matches start, let's take a look at some stats I calculated for the top 150 players after the jump:

Men's Rank	± ELO
1-10	35
11-20	19
21-50	14
51-100	-89
101-150	29

Women's Rank	± ELO
1-10	18
11-20	103
21-50	-17
51-100	-60
101-150	25

Dominic Thiem and Sloane Stephens were ranked outside my top 10 before the start of the tournament, so these will change after the finals.

The winners for the Men were the top 10 players, led by the other finalist Rafael Nadal, Juan Martin del Potro and Marin Cilic, while the losers were the 51-100 group, despite decent performances from Albert Ramos Vinolas, Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Mischa Zverev.

For the Women, the best performers were the 11-20 group with Garbine Muguruza, Madison Keys and Daria Kasatkina joining Stephens in doing very well, on the other hand, the 51-100 group did badly here too, though Lesia Tsurenko had a good tournament.

Now, my final ELO ratings and estimated percentage chances of winning:

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Rafael Nadal	1976	74.58%
2	Dominic Thiem	1789	25.42%

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Simona Halep	1857	66.61%
2	Sloane Stephens	1737	33.39%

What are your thoughts on my numbers? Vote in my Twitter polls below, open until the approximate time the finals are scheduled to start.

My numbers have 🇪🇸 Nadal as a 75% favourite vs 🇦🇹 Thiem, to win the #RG18 title. Do you think it should be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 8, 2018

My numbers have 🇷🇴 Halep as a 67% favourite vs 🇺🇸 Stephens to win the #RG18 title. Do you think it should be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 8, 2018