2019 French Open Final Update

It's time for the final of the French Open, and we're about to crown the winners of the second Grand Slam of the year! But before the matches start, let's take a look at some stats I calculated for the top 150 players after the jump:

French Open logo, © Roland Garros

Men's Rank	± ELO
1-10	57
11-20	55
21-50	31
51-100	-34
101-150	-103

Women's Rank	± ELO
1-10	-33
11-20	20
21-50	36
51-100	8
101-150	12

The winners for the Men were the top 10 players, thanks to Rafael Nadal, Dominic Thiem and Kei Nishikori, while the losers were the 101-150 group, despite a good performance from Jordan Thompson. For the Women, the best performers were the 21-50 group with finalist Marketa Vondrousova and Amanda Anisimova performing strongly, on the other hand, the top 10 group did badly here, with Ashleigh Barty the only player in the top 10 to gain more than a few ELO this tournament.

The Women's numbers will change after the final, as Ashleigh Barty is in the top 10 while Marketa Vondrousova is in the 21-50 group. The Men's numbers will stay the same as both finalists are in the top 10.

Now, my final ELO ratings and estimated percentage chances of winning:

#	Name	ELO	R1 %
2	Dominic Thiem	1831	27.77%
1	Rafael Nadal	1998	72.23%

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Ashleigh Barty	1853	66.30%
2	Marketa Vondrousova	1736	33.70%

What do you think? I have 2 polls running on Twitter until the finals start, and you can also comment below.

My numbers have 🇪🇸 Rafael Nadal as a 72% favourite to win the #RG19 title over 🇦🇹 Dominic Thiem. Should it be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 8, 2019

My numbers have 🇦🇺 Ashleigh Barty as a 66% favourite to win the #RG19 title over 🇨🇿 Marketa Vondrousova. Should it be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 7, 2019