Monday, 14 September 2015

U.S. Open Women's Singles Summary + ELO Rankings 14/09/2015

With the U.S. Open finished, now's the best time to have a look back at how my predictions did. These predictions were solely based on an ELO rating system that I have been updating from the start of the year.

R1: 41/63 (65%)
R2: 24/32 (75%)
R3: 7/16 (44%)
R4: 5/8 (63%)
R5: 2/4 (50%)
R6: 0/2 (0%)
R7: 1/1 (100%)

Overall: 80/126 (63.5%)

Not a great performance, but not a disaster either, especially when you consider that the later rounds were very unpredictable thanks to the big gainer of the week (see below) and her compatriot in the final.

The Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) is the tournament winner, Flavia Pennetta. She came in to the tournament rated #32 in my rankings, but won the tournament with wins against Petra Kvitova and Simona Halep on her way to the title, these wins gave Flavia 70 ELO rating points, and a new ranking of #11. Congratulations, and enjoy your retirement at the end of the season.

The Upset player of the (2) week(s) award goes to Sloane Stephens. Her loss in the 1st round to CoCo Vandeweghe was very unexpected after a strong season up until now, costing her 14 ELO rating points, which puts her at a new ranking of #9.

Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Roberta Vinci, Eugenie Bouchard, Johanna Konta, Varvara Lepchenko and Anett Kontaveit.

Now, the full rankings. NOTE: This week, I am using a new set of rankings, with a minimum number of matches or tournaments needed to be ranked. The ratings are the same ones but fewer players will be ranked in these posts. One notable omission is Maria Sharapova, who has only played 1 tournament with 6 matches in it since I started collecting this data.

#NameELO
1Serena Williams1808
2Simona Halep1744
3Angelique Kerber1688
4Petra Kvitova1685
5Victoria Azarenka1675
6Belinda Bencic1668
7Lucie Safarova1639
8Agnieszka Radwanska1629
9Sloane Stephens1628
10Sara Errani1623
11Flavia Pennetta1622
12Caroline Wozniacki1621
13Timea Bacsinszky1619
14Venus Williams1616
15Carla Suarez Navarro1609
16Karolina Pliskova1608
17Elina Svitolina1603
18Samantha Stosur1603
19Ekaterina Makarova1603
20Jelena Jankovic1596
21Garbine Muguruza1596
22Madison Keys1596
23Kristina Mladenovic1595
24Andrea Petkovic1594
25Anna Schmiedlova1593
26Ana Ivanovic1583
27Sabine Lisicki1577
28Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova1568
29Lesia Tsurenko1564
30Roberta Vinci1564
31Dominika Cibulkova1557
32Camila Giorgi1546
33Irina-Camelia Begu1544
34Barbora Strycova1541
35Eugenie Bouchard1540
36Svetlana Kuznetsova1536
37Karin Knapp1535
38Teliana Pereira1534
39Johanna Konta1534
40Daria Gavrilova1531
41Caroline Garcia1530
42Monica Niculescu1530
43Tsvetana Pironkova1521
44Johanna Larsson1520
45Ana Konjuh1518
46Coco Vandeweghe1518
47Varvara Lepchenko1518
48Alize Cornet1513
49Danka Kovinic1510
50Lucie Hradecka1508
51Denisa Allertova1507
52Heather Watson1505
53Bethanie Mattek-Sands1503
54Anett Kontaveit1503
55Polona Hercog1502
56Mona Barthel1502
57Julia Gorges1495
58Madison Brengle1493
59Zarina Diyas1492
60Daniela Hantuchova1490
61Ajla Tomljanovic1490
62Urszula Radwanska1489
63Irina Falconi1489
64Lara Arruabarrena1488
65Casey Dellacqua1486
66Christina McHale1484
67Evgeniya Rodina1484
68Alison Riske1483
69Klara Koukalova1483
70Magdalena Rybarikova1483
71Lauren Davis1482
72Annika Beck1478
73Andreea Mitu1477
74Kurumi Nara1475
75Misaki Doi1475
76Carina Witthoft1474
77Yanina Wickmayer1474
78Yulia Putintseva1473
79Katerina Siniakova1473
80Kateryna Bondarenko1473
81Kirsten Flipkens1472
82Elizaveta Kulichkova1472
83Magda Linette1470
84Aleksandra Krunic1469
85Olga Govortsova1467
86Kiki Bertens1466
87Alison Van Uytvanck1464
88Tatjana Maria1463
89Sesil Karatantcheva1461
90Bojana Jovanovski1456
91Vitalia Diatchenko1455
92Jarmila Gajdosova1450
93Timea Babos1450
94Tereza Smitkova1448
95Marina Erakovic1444
96Monica Puig1440
97Mirjana Lucic-Baroni1432
98Francesca Schiavone1428
99Zheng Saisai1423
100Stefanie Vogele1397
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