Monday, 1 February 2016

2016 AO Men's Summary + ELO Rankings 01/02/2016

With the Australian Open finishing today, now's the best time to have a look back at how my predictions did. These predictions were solely based on an ELO rating system I have been using for just over a year now.


Milos Raonic, © Brandon Malone/Reuters

R1: 45/64 (70%)
R2: 27/32 (84%)
R3: 16/16 (100%)
R4: 7/8 (88%)
R5: 4/4 (100%)
R6: 2/2 (100%)
R7: 1/1 (100%)

Overall: 101/127 (79.5%)

A noticeable improvement on last year, where I only got 70% correct. I'm happy with how my rankings are performing, let's see if they hold up for the French Open.

My Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) award goes to semi-finalist Milos Raonic. He was the 13th seed here but after defeating Stan Wawrinka, he was the one who took advantage of an opening (see below) to make it to the semi-finals, beating Gael Monfils before losing to Andy Murray. Milos' run gave him 32 ELO rating points, and he climbs 2 places in my rankings from #10 to #8.

The Upset player of the (2) week(s) goes to Rafael Nadal. He was the 5th seed here in Melbourne, but he lost in the 1st round to Fernando Verdasco. This loss cost Rafael 17 ELO rating points, but he stays ranked as the ELO #4.

Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Federico Delbonis, Dudi Sela, Andrey Kuznetsov, Lukas Rosol and Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Now, the the full rankings.


#NameELO±
1Novak Djokovic20090
2Roger Federer18730
3Andy Murray18430
4Rafael Nadal17770
5Stan Wawrinka17750
6Tomas Berdych17410
7Kei Nishikori17360
8Milos Raonic17232
9David Ferrer17220
10Richard Gasquet1709-2
11Jo-Wilfried Tsonga16890
12Roberto Bautista Agut16820
13Marin Cilic16700
14John Isner16681
15Kevin Anderson1650-1
16Jack Sock16450
17Gilles Simon16431
18Grigor Dimitrov1634-1
19Gael Monfils16340
20David Goffin16291
21Bernard Tomic16102
22Philipp Kohlschreiber1605-2
23Nick Kyrgios15983
24Dominic Thiem15971
25Victor Troicki15903
26Benoit Paire1589-4
27Gilles Muller1589-3
28Steve Johnson15862
29Feliciano Lopez15792
30Fabio Fognini1576-3
31Joao Sousa15753
32Ivo Karlovic1566-3
33Tommy Robredo15660
34Jeremy Chardy1564-2
35Guillermo Garcia-Lopez15592
36Marcos Baghdatis1554-1
37Andreas Seppi15444
38Borna Coric1536-2
39Leonardo Mayer1536-1
40Andrey Kuznetsov15369
41Lukas Rosol15329
42Vasek Pospisil1530-3
43Alexandr Dolgopolov15300
44Thomaz Bellucci1526-2
45Simone Bolelli1522-1
46Pablo Cuevas15201
47Teymuraz Gabashvili1519-7
48Chung Hyeon1519-2
49Pierre-Hugues Herbert15199
50Fernando Verdasco15163
51Mischa Zverev1514-3
52Juan Monaco1512-1
53Donald Young1509-8
54Lucas Pouille1507-2
55Illya Marchenko1501-1
56Jerzy Janowicz15010
57Nicolas Mahut15003
58Federico Delbonis150013
59Sam Querrey1499-4
60Radek Stepanek14993
61Aljaz Bedene1498-4
62Alexander Zverev1497-3
63Rajeev Ram1496-1
64Austin Krajicek14941
65John Millman14947
66Evgeny Donskoy1493-2
67Damir Dzumhur1492NEW
68Nicolas Almagro1489-2
69Robin Haase1484-8
70Sam Groth14846
71Dusan Lajovic14836
72Denis Istomin1479-5
73Yen-Hsun Lu14782
74Dudi Sela147618
75Jiri Vesely1475-7
76Dustin Brown14754
77Thanasi Kokkinakis14754
78Adrian Mannarino1474-9
79Steve Darcis1474-9
80Michael Berrer14722
81Martin Klizan1471-3
82Victor Estrella Burgos1469-9
83Mikhail Kukushkin1469-4
84Andrey Rublev1469-1
85John-Patrick Smith1469-1
86Tatsuma Ito1468-12
87Marcel Granollers14683
88Jared Donaldson1467-3
89Nikoloz Basilashvili1467NEW
90Andreas Haider-Maurer14641
91Santiago Giraldo14636
92Marsel Ilhan14622
93Sergiy Stakhovsky1460-5
94Paul-Henri Mathieu1459-8
95Ernests Gulbis1459-6
96Go Soeda14590
97Denis Kudla14591
98Yoshihito Nishioka1459NEW
99Albert Ramos-Vinolas14583
100Pablo Andujar1457-13
101Ricardas Berankis1455-8
102Ryan Harrison1453NEW
103Blaz Kavcic14500
104James Duckworth1449-9
105Diego Schwartzman1447-6
106Yuichi Sugita1446-5
107Malek Jaziri1445-7
108Kenny de Schepper1439-1
109Lleyton Hewitt14381
110Pablo Carreno Busta1434-4
111Matthew Ebden1433-7
112Tommy Haas1432-3
113Tim Smyczek1431-1
114James Ward1430-3
115Daniel Gimeno-Traver1428-7
116Benjamin Becker1416-3
117Joao Souza1412-3
118Mikhail Youzhny1410-2
119Paolo Lorenzi1406-4
120Lukas Lacko1397-3
121Jan-Lennard Struff1371-3

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