Sunday, 31 January 2016

2016 AO Women's Summary + ELO Rankings 01/02/2016

With the Australian Open finishing today, now's the best time to have a look back at how my predictions did. These predictions were solely based on an ELO rating system I have been using for just over a year now.


Zhang Shuai, © EPA

R1: 38/64 (59%)
R2: 21/32 (66%)
R3: 11/16 (69%)
R4: 6/8 (75%)
R5: 4/4 (100%)
R6: 2/2 (100%)
R7: 0/1 (0%)

Overall: 82/127 (64.6%)

Worse than last year, this year saw a lot of upsets that nobody could have predicted, especially those caused by my Big Gainer of the week (see below) and the woman who ended up beating her. Let's hope for better at the French Open.

My Big Gainer of the (2) week(s) award is awarded to Zhang Shuai. Coming in to the Australian Open, she was the lowest ranked player on my rankings, and was drawn against the 2nd seed in the 1st round, yet she won, and defeated Madsion Keys in the 4th round before losing in the quarter finals. Shuai gained 50 ELO rating points for the series of upsets, and climbs 28 places in my rankings to #100. 

The Upset player of the (2) week(s) goes to Simona Halep. She was the 2nd seed in Melbourne, and was expected to beat the woman who ended up as the Big Gainer of the week, but she lost her 1st match. Simona's early loss cost her 17 ELO rating points, but she stays as the ELO #6 on my rankings.

Other strong performers relative to their rankings are Johanna Konta, Margarita Gasparyan, Barbora Strycova, Annika Beck and Kateryna Bondarenko.

Now, the the full rankings.


#NameELO±
1Serena Williams18260
2Agnieszka Radwanska17530
3Angelique Kerber17521
4Maria Sharapova1737-1
5Victoria Azarenka17120
6Simona Halep16790
7Belinda Bencic16742
8Garbine Muguruza16710
9Venus Williams1663-2
10Karolina Pliskova16423
11Petra Kvitova16360
12Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova1630-2
13Jelena Jankovic16291
14Sloane Stephens1628-2
15Svetlana Kuznetsova16280
16Ekaterina Makarova16232
17Carla Suarez Navarro16225
18Lucie Safarova16101
19Timea Bacsinszky1609-3
20Madison Keys16093
21Caroline Wozniacki1600-4
22Sara Errani1597-2
23Ana Ivanovic15934
24Elina Svitolina15842
25Johanna Konta158415
26Samantha Stosur1582-2
27Anna Karolina Schmiedlova1582-2
28Roberta Vinci15781
29Sabine Lisicki15701
30Dominika Cibulkova1568-2
31Eugenie Bouchard15660
32Kristina Mladenovic15631
33Margarita Gasparyan156110
34Barbora Strycova155912
35Darya Kasatkina15576
36Daria Gavrilova155512
37Irina-Camelia Begu1552-5
38Alize Cornet1550-4
39Camila Giorgi1550-4
40Johanna Larsson1550-3
41Denisa Allertova15434
42Lesia Tsurenko1542-6
43Andrea Petkovic1537-5
44Nao Hibino1537-5
45Anna-Lena Friedsam153714
46Karin Knapp1535-2
47Caroline Garcia1530-5
48Annika Beck152821
49Naomi Broady15233
50Ana Konjuh15221
51Julia Gorges15202
52Mona Barthel1519-5
53Aliaksandra Sasnovich15183
54Monica Puig151714
55Samantha Crawford1516-6
56Monica Niculescu1516-2
57Madison Brengle151616
58Kirsten Flipkens15142
59Varvara Lepchenko15146
60Yanina Wickmayer1513-10
61Danka Kovinic15130
62Anastasija Sevastova1512-4
63Laura Siegemund150812
64Elizaveta Kulichkova150814
65Patricia Maria Tig1507-2
66Jelena Ostapenko1504-11
67Coco Vandeweghe1502-10
68Hseih Su-Wei15029
69Alison Van Uytvanck1499-2
70Bethanie Mattek-Sands1498-8
71Heather Watson1496-7
72Teliana Pereira1495-6
73Alison Riske1494-2
74Anett Kontaveit14920
75Mariana Duque Marino1489-5
76Tsvetana Pironkova1489-4
77Timea Babos148813
78Magda Linette1485-2
79Misaki Doi14851
80Yaroslava Shvedova148511
81Kateryna Bondarenko148520
82Christina McHale1483-1
83Alexandra Panova14825
84Alexandra Dulgheru148211
85Evgeniya Rodina1481-6
86Olga Savchuk14816
87Casey Dellacqua14796
88Kurumi Nara14786
89Irina Falconi14787
90Donna Vekic1477-8
91Lucie Hradecka1477-8
92Tamira Paszek1476-5
93Mirjana Lucic-Baroni1475-9
94Bojana Jovanovski1475-8
95Lara Arruabarrena14742
96Ajla Tomljanovic1473-11
97Anna Tatishvili1472-8
98Lauren Davis147116
99Kristyna Pliskova1470NEW
100Zhang Shuai146828
101Polona Hercog1463-3
102Sesil Karatantcheva14631
103Daniela Hantuchova1462-3
104Elena Vesnina14620
105Urszula Radwanska1461-6
106Wang Qiang14607
107Ana Bogdan1459-1
108Aleksandra Krunic1458-6
109Kateryna Kozlova1458-1
110Magdalena Rybarikova1457-1
111Nicole Gibbs14571
112Katerina Siniakova1456-7
113Vitalia Diatchenko1455-2
114Tatjana Maria14503
115Zarina Diyas1449-5
116Yulia Putintseva14499
117Olga Govortsova1448-10
118Jana Cepelova1448-3
119Marina Erakovic1445-1
120Tereza Smitkova14381
121Klara Koukalova1437-5
122Carina Witthoft1434-3
123Kiki Bertens1434-3
124Zheng Saisai14340
125Andreea Mitu1428-3
126Jarmila Wolfe1426-3
127Francesca Schiavone1419-1
128Stefanie Vogele1419-1

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