Wednesday, 25 January 2017

2017 Australian Open Semi Final Update

We're now in to the semi finals of the Australian Open, so let's take a look at how the quarter finals have impacted on the rankings of the players still in.

The current leaders in the Big Gainer of the tournament awards are Mischa Zverev (+43) and Mirjana Lucic-Baroni (+60). Mischa is out of the Australian Open, but can still win the award if Roger Federer wins the tournament, otherwise the tournament winner takes it. In the Women's race, If either Mirjana or Coco Vandeweghe make the final, then whoever does better will win the award, otherwise Venus Williams will take it from Mirjana if she wins the title.

But before the rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:

Men's Rank± ELO

Women's Rank± ELO

Now we're at the semi final stage, I'm also going to add some prediction percentages for the final and the title, based on these ratings.

Men's rankings

1Roger Federer1868
2Rafael Nadal1807
3Stan Wawrinka1792
4Grigor Dimitrov1756

Men's predictions

1Roger Federer61%37%
2Rafael Nadal57%26%
3Stan Wawrinka39%20%
4Grigor Dimitrov43%17%

Women's rankings

1Serena Williams1877
2Venus Williams1678
3Coco Vandeweghe1627
4Mirjana Lucic-Baroni1548

Women's predictions

1Serena Williams87%67%
2Venus Williams57%17%
3Coco Vandeweghe43%11%
4Mirjana Lucic-Baroni13%5%

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