Friday 26 January 2018

2018 Australian Open Final Update

It's the final of the Australian Open, and we're about to crown the winners of the first Grand Slam of the year! But before the matches start, let's take a look at some stats I calculated for the top 150 players after the jump:

Men's Rank± ELO
1-1017
11-20-34
21-5063
51-10013
101-150-8


Women's Rank± ELO
1-1015
11-2010
21-5048
51-100-1
101-150-23

These will both stay the same after the finals whatever the results, as all players remaining are top 10 players. The group which clearly did the best at this tournament are the 21-50 ranked players, led by Kyle Edmund, Chung Hyeon, Elise Mertens and Carla Suarez Navarro.

For the men, the worst performers were the 11-20 group, with the exception of Tomas Berdych. For the women, it was the 101-150 group who did worst, although Denisa Allertova did make it to the 4th round.

Now, my final ELO ratings and estimated percentage chances of winning:

#NameELOWin %
1Marin Cilic178723.7%
2Roger Federer199076.3%

#NameELOWin %
1Simona Halep183853.0%
2Caroline Wozniacki181747.0%

What are your thoughts on my numbers? Vote in my Twitter polls below, open for 7 hours from the publication of this blog post.