Wednesday, 24 January 2018

2018 Australian Open Semi Finals Update

The quarter finals of the Australian Open finished earlier today, so let's take a look at how that impacted my rankings of the players still in.

The current leaders in the Player of the tournament awards are Chung Hyeon (+58) and Elise Mertens (+46). Both players are still in so their destiny is in their hands.

For the men, Kyle Edmund will win the award if he does better than Chung does, Chung wins if he does better than Edmund does, or if Federer beats Cilic in the final, and Cilic wins if he beats Federer in the final. The women's is simpler, if Kerber does better than Mertens does, then Kerber wins, otherwise Mertens wins.

View my 2nd week predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:


Men's Rank± ELO
1-108
11-20-34
21-5072
51-10013
101-150-8


Women's Rank± ELO
1-102
11-2017
21-5054
51-100-1
101-150-23

Now we're at the semi final stage, I'm also going to add some prediction percentages for the final and the title, based on these ratings.

Men's ratings:

#NameELO
1Roger Federer1988
2Marin Cilic1780
3Kyle Edmund1656
4Chung Hyeon1645

Men's predictions:

#NameELOFinalTitle
1Marin Cilic178067.12%19.28%
2Kyle Edmund165632.88%5.79%
3Chung Hyeon164512.19%4.52%
4Roger Federer198887.81%70.42%

Women's ratings:

#NameELO
1Simona Halep1831
2Caroline Wozniacki1811
3Angelique Kerber1738
4Elise Mertens1677

Women's predictions:

#NameELOFinalTitle
1Simona Halep183163.07%36.93%
2Angelique Kerber173836.93%16.86%
3Elise Mertens167731.62%10.64%
4Caroline Wozniacki181168.38%35.57%