Wednesday 23 January 2019

2019 Australian Open Semi Finals Update

The quarter finals of the Australian Open finished earlier today, so let's take a look at how that impacted my rankings of the players still in. Now we're at the semi final stage, I'm also going to add some prediction percentages for the final and the title, based on my ratings.

Australian Open logo. © Australian Open

View my 2nd week predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:


Men's Rank± ELO
1-10-1
11-2045
21-5075
51-100-32
101-150-30


Women's Rank± ELO
1-1081
11-2024
21-50-47
51-10076
101-150-89




The current leaders in the Player of the tournament awards are Lucas Pouille (+50) and Danielle Collins (+67). Collins has a lock on winning the award, but Stefanos Tsitsipas will win it instead of Pouille if Tsitsipas does better than Pouille does in the tournament.

Men's ratings and predictions:

#NameELOFinal %Win %
2Novak Djokovic198688.64%47.38%
4Lucas Pouille162911.36%1.69%
3Stefanos Tsitsipas171916.50%3.78%
1Rafael Nadal200183.50%47.15%

Women's ratings and predictions:


#NameELOFinal %Win %
1Karolina Pliskova181758.47%33.63%
3Naomi Osaka175841.53%20.56%
2Petra Kvitova180778.28%40.74%
4Danielle Collins158421.72%5.06%