The semi finals of the US Open have finished, and we're moving to the finals of the last Grand Slam of the year, so let's take a look at how the semis impacted my rankings of the finalists.
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View my 2nd week tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, and after the jump, I present some stats I calculated for the top 150 players, my latest ELO ratings for the finalists, and how likely they are to win the match. Who do you think the favourite is?
These are the final numbers for the men, as both Men's finalists are top 10 players, but the Women's numbers will change as one is a 51-100 player, and the other is not even in the top 150. Now, my latest rankings and predictions:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 24 | 35 |
| 11-20 | -36 | 48 |
| 21-50 | -32 | -38 |
| 51-100 | -27 | -30 |
| 101-150 | -26 | -49 |
These are the final numbers for the men, as both Men's finalists are top 10 players, but the Women's numbers will change as one is a 51-100 player, and the other is not even in the top 150. Now, my latest rankings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R1 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2033 | 68.10% |
| 2 | Daniil Medvedev | 1901 | 31.90% |
| # | Name | ELO | R1 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Emma Raducanu | 1580 | 42.98% |
| 1 | Leylah Fernandez | 1629 | 57.02% |
What do you think? I have 2 polls running on Twitter until the finals start where you can share your opinions.
My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as a 68% favourite to win the #USOpen title over 🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) September 11, 2021
My numbers have 🇨🇦 Leylah Fernandez as a 57% favourite to win the #USOpen title over 🇬🇧 Emma Raducanu. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) September 10, 2021
