Next week, the season ending ATP Finals takes place, this time in Turin. After the jump, I'll take a look at the players competing this year and how I expect the tournament to go.
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| Daniil Medvedev, last year's champion. © Getty Images |
The 8 tennis players who will be playing the ATP Finals, coloured by the group they are in, along with their ELO ratings are:
- Novak Djokovic - 2036
- Alexander Zverev - 1931
- Daniil Medvedev - 1918
- Stefanos Tsitsipas - 1828
- Matteo Berrettini - 1806
- Casper Ruud - 1788
- Andrey Rublev - 1759
- Hubert Hurkacz - 1713
The Green group is just about the tougher of the 2 groups, with the #1 ranked player in it and a higher average ELO, but the 2 groups are relatively balanced, at least compared to the WTA Finals groups.
Below, I've estimated the chance for each player to advance from the group, make it to the final, and to win the tournament.
Below, I've estimated the chance for each player to advance from the group, make it to the final, and to win the tournament.
| # | Player | ELO | Adv | Final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2036 | 87% | 62% | 41% |
| 2 | Alexander Zverev | 1931 | 71% | 39% | 20% |
| 3 | Daniil Medvedev | 1918 | 69% | 36% | 18% |
| 4 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1828 | 47% | 20% | 7% |
| 5 | Matteo Berrettini | 1806 | 40% | 15% | 5% |
| 6 | Casper Ruud | 1788 | 36% | 13% | 4% |
| 7 | Andrey Rublev | 1759 | 30% | 10% | 3% |
| 8 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1713 | 20% | 5% | 1% |
(NOTE: Because the finalists could come from the same group or both groups, the numbers for the winner are a best estimate)
