2021 WTA Finals Predictions

This week, the season ending WTA Finals takes place, this time in Guadalajara. After the jump, I'll take a look at the players competing this year and how I expect the tournament to go.

The 8 players competing at this year's event, © Getty Images

The 8 tennis players who will be playing the WTA Finals, coloured by the group they are in, along with their ELO ratings are:

1. Anett Kontaveit - 1830
2. Aryna Sabalenka - 1814
3. Garbine Muguruza - 1794
4. Barbora Krejcikova - 1783
5. Karolina Pliskova - 1768
6. Maria Sakkari - 1761
7. Iga Swiatek - 1756
8. Paula Badosa - 1755

The Teotihuacan Group (Blue) is clearly the tougher of the 2 groups, with the 4 of the top 5 ranked players in it, and the Chichen Izta Group (Red) is the easier group, with the 2nd, 6th, 7th and 8th ranked players in it.

Below, I've estimated the chance for each player to advance from the group, make it to the final, and to win the tournament.

#	Player	ELO	Adv	Final	Win
1	Anett Kontaveit	1830	59%	34%	19%
2	Aryna Sabalenka	1821	62%	33%	18%
3	Garbine Muguruza	1794	50%	26%	13%
4	Barbora Krejcikova	1783	47%	24%	12%
5	Karolina Pliskova	1768	43%	21%	10%
6	Maria Sakkari	1761	47%	21%	10%
7	Iga Swiatek	1756	45%	20%	9%
8	Paula Badosa	1755	45%	20%	9%

(NOTE: Because the finalists could come from the same group or both groups, the numbers for the winner are a best estimate)