The semi finals of Wimbledon have finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | -19 | -48 |
| 11-20 | 83 | -11 |
| 21-50 | 64 | -49 |
| 51-100 | -32 | 39 |
| 101-150 | -59 | 129 |
Both sets of numbers will change after the finals, as the Men's final is between a top 10 player and an 11-20 ranked player, while the Women's final is between a top 10 player and a 21-50 ranked player.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2020 | 78.36% |
| 2 | Nick Kyrgios | 1797 | 21.64% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elena Rybakina | 1709 | 27.06% |
| 2 | Ons Jabeur | 1881 | 72.94% |
What do you think? I have a couple of polls open on Twitter to get your thoughts on these numbers. Polls will remain open until play starts.
My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as a 78% favourite to win the #Wimbledon men's singles title over 🇦🇺 Nick Kyrgios. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 8, 2022
My numbers have 🇹🇳 Ons Jabeur as a 73% favourite to win the #Wimbledon women's singles title over 🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 7, 2022
