The 3rd round of Wimbledon has finished, so let's take a look at how that affected my rankings of the players still in and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | -5 | -63 |
| 11-20 | 36 | 18 |
| 21-50 | 86 | -62 |
| 51-100 | -26 | 49 |
| 101-150 | -59 | 120 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R4 % | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2010 | 91.70% | 65.37% | 55.84% | 32.28% |
| 2 | Tim van Rijthoven | 1593 | 8.30% | 1.56% | 0.56% | 0.09% |
| 3 | Jannik Sinner | 1796 | 37.77% | 10.21% | 6.50% | 2.13% |
| 4 | Carlos Alcaraz | 1883 | 62.23% | 22.86% | 16.93% | 7.18% |
| 5 | David Goffin | 1632 | 50.04% | 18.49% | 2.74% | 0.50% |
| 6 | Frances Tiafoe | 1632 | 49.96% | 18.45% | 2.73% | 0.49% |
| 7 | Cameron Norrie | 1763 | 64.20% | 43.65% | 11.41% | 3.36% |
| 8 | Tommy Paul | 1662 | 35.80% | 19.42% | 3.29% | 0.67% |
| 9 | Christian Garin | 1629 | 42.12% | 15.62% | 2.37% | 0.44% |
| 10 | Alex De Minaur | 1684 | 57.88% | 25.72% | 4.89% | 1.14% |
| 11 | Brandon Nakashima | 1615 | 29.26% | 12.73% | 1.82% | 0.32% |
| 12 | Nick Kyrgios | 1768 | 70.74% | 45.93% | 12.01% | 3.84% |
| 13 | Jason Kubler | 1512 | 21.37% | 1.52% | 0.38% | 0.04% |
| 14 | Taylor Fritz | 1738 | 78.63% | 15.39% | 8.40% | 2.41% |
| 15 | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1659 | 10.04% | 4.57% | 1.99% | 0.42% |
| 16 | Rafael Nadal | 2040 | 89.96% | 78.52% | 68.15% | 44.70% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R4 % | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alize Cornet | 1626 | 51.21% | 23.93% | 7.12% | 2.29% |
| 2 | Ajla Tomljanovic | 1617 | 48.79% | 22.21% | 6.39% | 1.99% |
| 3 | Elena Rybakina | 1680 | 61.26% | 35.69% | 13.02% | 5.02% |
| 4 | Petra Martic | 1600 | 38.74% | 18.17% | 4.87% | 1.43% |
| 5 | Paula Badosa | 1773 | 44.84% | 25.16% | 17.19% | 8.68% |
| 6 | Simona Halep | 1809 | 55.16% | 33.57% | 24.37% | 13.46% |
| 7 | Amanda Anisimova | 1768 | 83.43% | 38.82% | 26.31% | 13.15% |
| 8 | Harmony Tan | 1488 | 16.57% | 2.45% | 0.73% | 0.14% |
| 9 | Marie Bouzkova | 1606 | 45.24% | 10.63% | 4.60% | 1.50% |
| 10 | Caroline Garcia | 1639 | 54.76% | 14.72% | 7.00% | 2.57% |
| 11 | Elise Mertens | 1667 | 23.64% | 13.24% | 6.77% | 2.72% |
| 12 | Ons Jabeur | 1870 | 76.36% | 61.41% | 46.38% | 31.31% |
| 13 | Tatjana Maria | 1536 | 23.16% | 12.51% | 2.69% | 0.66% |
| 14 | Jelena Ostapenko | 1744 | 76.84% | 61.08% | 27.44% | 13.94% |
| 15 | Heather Watson | 1483 | 43.61% | 10.37% | 1.78% | 0.35% |
| 16 | Jule Niemeier | 1527 | 56.39% | 16.04% | 3.33% | 0.79% |
