2020 Australian Open Final Update

It's time for the final of the Australian Open, and we're about to crown the winners of the first Grand Slam of the year! But before the matches start, let's take a look at some stats I calculated for the top 150 players after the jump:

Australian Open logo, © Australian Open

Men's Rank	± ELO
1-10	53
11-20	20
21-50	9
51-100	-28
101-150	38

Women's Rank	± ELO
1-10	-3
11-20	-35
21-50	97
51-100	47
101-150	-65

Sofia Kenin was ranked #12 and Garbine Muguruza #23 before the tournament started, so the Women's numbers will change, but the Men's will stay the same.

The overall winners for the Men were the 1-10 group, with all 4 semi finalists being in the top 10; while the losers were the 51-100 group, despite a good performance from Marton Fucsovics. For the Women, the best performers were the 21-50 group with Anett Kontaveit and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova performing strongly with finalist Muguruza; on the other hand, the 101-150 group did badly here, with nobody in this group making it past the 2nd round of the tournament.

Now, my final ELO ratings and estimated percentage chances of winning:

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Novak Djokovic	1992	63.82%
2	Dominic Thiem	1894	36.18%

#	Name	ELO	Win %
1	Sofia Kenin	1777	55.76%
2	Garbine Muguruza	1736	44.24%

What do you think? I have 2 polls running on Twitter until the finals start, and you can also comment below.

My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as a 64% favourite to win the #AusOpen title over 🇦🇹 Dominic Thiem. Should it be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) January 31, 2020

My numbers have 🇺🇸 Sofia Kenin as a 56% favourite to win the #AusOpen title over 🇪🇸 Garbine Muguruza. Should it be higher, lower, or have I got it right?

— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) January 30, 2020