Wednesday 29 January 2020

2020 Australian Open Semi Finals Update

The quarter finals of the Australian Open finished today, so let's take a look at how that impacted my rankings of the players still in. Now we're at the semi final stage, I'm also going to take a look at the best performers at the tournament, and to add some prediction percentages for the final and the title, based on my ratings.

Australian Open logo, © Australian Open

View my week 2 predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:


Men's Rank± ELO
1-1053
11-2020
21-509
51-100-28
101-15038


Women's Rank± ELO
1-1024
11-20-49
21-5085
51-10047
101-150-65


The current leaders in the Player of the tournament awards (given for the players who gain the most ELO rating points) are Tennys Sandgren (+51) and Ons Jabeur (+47).

Sandgren will win the award unless Alexander Zverev wins the title, in which case he wins the award. Garbine Muguruza can take award from Jabeur if she wins her semi final; but Sofia Kenin will take it if she wins the title.

Now, my latest ratings and predictions:

Men's:


#NameELOFinal %Win %
3Dominic Thiem188662.74%23.43%
4Alexander Zverev179637.26%9.74%
2Roger Federer196948.07%31.71%
1Novak Djokovic198351.93%35.13%

Women's:

#NameELOFinal %Win %
1Ashleigh Barty190669.56%46.85%
4Sofia Kenin176330.44%14.53%
2Simona Halep181262.35%26.73%
3Garbine Muguruza172437.65%11.89%