The quarter finals of the Australian Open finished today, so let's take a look at how that impacted my rankings of the players still in. Now we're at the semi final stage, I'm also going to take a look at the best performers at the tournament, and to add some prediction percentages for the final and the title, based on my ratings.
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View my week 2 predictions for the
Men and the
Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
Men's Rank | ± ELO |
1-10 | 53 |
11-20 | 20 |
21-50 | 9 |
51-100 | -28 |
101-150 | 38 |
Women's Rank | ± ELO |
1-10 | 24 |
11-20 | -49 |
21-50 | 85 |
51-100 | 47 |
101-150 | -65 |
The current leaders in the Player of the tournament awards (given for the players who gain the most ELO rating points) are Tennys Sandgren (+51) and Ons Jabeur (+47).
Sandgren will win the award unless Alexander Zverev wins the title, in which case he wins the award. Garbine Muguruza can take award from Jabeur if she wins her semi final; but Sofia Kenin will take it if she wins the title.
Now, my latest ratings and predictions:
Men's:
# | Name | ELO | Final % | Win % |
3 | Dominic Thiem | 1886 | 62.74% | 23.43% |
4 | Alexander Zverev | 1796 | 37.26% | 9.74% |
2 | Roger Federer | 1969 | 48.07% | 31.71% |
1 | Novak Djokovic | 1983 | 51.93% | 35.13% |
Women's:
# | Name | ELO | Final % | Win % |
1 | Ashleigh Barty | 1906 | 69.56% | 46.85% |
4 | Sofia Kenin | 1763 | 30.44% | 14.53% |
2 | Simona Halep | 1812 | 62.35% | 26.73% |
3 | Garbine Muguruza | 1724 | 37.65% | 11.89% |