The semi finals of Wimbledon have finished, and we're moving to the finals of the 3rd Grand Slam of the year, so let's take a look at how the semis impacted my rankings of the finalists.
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View my 2nd week tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, and after the jump, I present some stats I calculated for the top 150 players, my latest ELO ratings for the finalists, and how likely they are to win the match. Who do you think the favourite is?
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 3 | -19 |
| 11-20 | -50 | 16 |
| 21-50 | 173 | 4 |
| 51-100 | -60 | 75 |
| 101-150 | -24 | -37 |
These are the final numbers for the men, as both Men's finalists are top 10 players, but the Women's numbers will change as one is a top 10 player, and the other is a 11-20 ranked player. Now, my latest rankings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2033 | 76.50% |
| 2 | Matteo Berrettini | 1828 | 23.50% |
| # | Name | ELO | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashleigh Barty | 1931 | 73.77% |
| 2 | Karolina Pliskova | 1752 | 26.23% |
What do you think? I have 2 polls running on Twitter until the finals start where you can share your opinions.
My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as a 77% favourite to win the #WIMBLEDON title over 🇮🇹 Matteo Berrettini. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 9, 2021
My numbers have 🇦🇺 Ashleigh Barty as a 74% favourite to win the #WIMBLEDON title over 🇨🇿 Karolina Pliskova. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 8, 2021
