The 2nd round of Wimbledon has almost finished, so let's take a look at how that affected my rankings of the players still in (The numbers assume that the higher ranked player will win for the remaining matches) and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players (completed matches only):
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 1 | -10 |
| 11-20 | 3 | 7 |
| 21-50 | 78 | -52 |
| 51-100 | 13 | 42 |
| 101-150 | -45 | 81 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R1 % | R2 % | R3 % | R4 % | R5 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2008 | 88.77% | 81.38% | 60.14% | 52.27% | 30.36% |
| 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 1648 | 11.23% | 6.54% | 1.84% | 0.87% | 0.17% |
| 3 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1599 | 52.38% | 6.55% | 1.50% | 0.61% | 0.10% |
| 4 | Tim van Rijthoven | 1582 | 47.62% | 5.53% | 1.18% | 0.46% | 0.07% |
| 5 | Jannik Sinner | 1788 | 61.76% | 26.92% | 8.50% | 5.62% | 1.80% |
| 6 | John Isner | 1705 | 38.24% | 12.71% | 3.03% | 1.67% | 0.40% |
| 7 | Oscar Otte | 1610 | 17.50% | 5.30% | 0.89% | 0.37% | 0.06% |
| 8 | Carlos Alcaraz | 1879 | 82.50% | 55.07% | 22.91% | 17.49% | 7.39% |
| 9 | Ugo Humbert | 1566 | 41.78% | 18.03% | 6.10% | 0.78% | 0.11% |
| 10 | David Goffin | 1624 | 58.22% | 29.94% | 12.33% | 2.05% | 0.36% |
| 11 | Frances Tiafoe | 1623 | 52.56% | 27.98% | 11.48% | 1.89% | 0.33% |
| 12 | Alexander Bublik | 1605 | 47.44% | 24.05% | 9.30% | 1.42% | 0.23% |
| 13 | Cameron Norrie | 1758 | 75.10% | 52.00% | 36.52% | 10.44% | 3.02% |
| 14 | Steve Johnson | 1566 | 24.90% | 10.85% | 4.77% | 0.61% | 0.08% |
| 15 | Tommy Paul | 1656 | 69.34% | 29.37% | 16.65% | 3.16% | 0.63% |
| 16 | Jiri Vesely | 1514 | 30.66% | 7.78% | 2.86% | 0.28% | 0.03% |
| 17 | Christian Garin | 1618 | 48.52% | 23.28% | 6.89% | 1.15% | 0.23% |
| 18 | Jenson Brooksby | 1629 | 51.48% | 25.43% | 7.81% | 1.36% | 0.28% |
| 19 | Alex De Minaur | 1678 | 73.45% | 42.48% | 15.52% | 3.26% | 0.82% |
| 20 | Liam Broady | 1502 | 26.55% | 8.80% | 1.63% | 0.17% | 0.02% |
| 21 | Brandon Nakashima | 1607 | 62.49% | 14.10% | 6.46% | 1.04% | 0.20% |
| 22 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 1519 | 37.51% | 5.62% | 1.91% | 0.21% | 0.03% |
| 23 | Nick Kyrgios | 1755 | 34.88% | 25.69% | 17.00% | 4.67% | 1.54% |
| 24 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1864 | 65.12% | 54.59% | 42.78% | 16.43% | 7.50% |
| 25 | Maxime Cressy | 1577 | 60.87% | 20.83% | 2.52% | 0.71% | 0.12% |
| 26 | Jason Kubler | 1500 | 39.13% | 9.87% | 0.85% | 0.18% | 0.02% |
| 27 | Alex Molcan | 1620 | 34.59% | 20.86% | 3.02% | 1.00% | 0.20% |
| 28 | Taylor Fritz | 1731 | 65.41% | 48.44% | 10.72% | 5.05% | 1.53% |
| 29 | Richard Gasquet | 1606 | 43.61% | 4.69% | 2.04% | 0.64% | 0.12% |
| 30 | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1651 | 56.39% | 7.37% | 3.66% | 1.35% | 0.30% |
| 31 | Lorenzo Sonego | 1587 | 6.93% | 3.03% | 1.25% | 0.37% | 0.06% |
| 32 | Rafael Nadal | 2039 | 93.07% | 84.90% | 75.94% | 62.40% | 41.91% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R3 % | R4 % | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iga Swiatek | 1961 | 88.44% | 71.93% | 57.14% | 43.04% | 32.03% |
| 2 | Alize Cornet | 1608 | 11.56% | 4.34% | 1.56% | 0.46% | 0.14% |
| 3 | Ajla Tomljanovic | 1603 | 31.10% | 4.88% | 1.72% | 0.50% | 0.15% |
| 4 | Barbora Krejcikova | 1742 | 68.90% | 18.85% | 10.09% | 4.73% | 2.23% |
| 5 | Zheng Qinwen | 1545 | 32.34% | 8.31% | 1.20% | 0.27% | 0.06% |
| 6 | Elena Rybakina | 1673 | 67.66% | 27.68% | 6.80% | 2.55% | 0.98% |
| 7 | Petra Martic | 1585 | 23.80% | 10.33% | 1.77% | 0.47% | 0.13% |
| 8 | Jessica Pegula | 1787 | 76.20% | 53.68% | 19.72% | 10.49% | 5.58% |
| 9 | Paula Badosa | 1765 | 58.47% | 28.58% | 15.93% | 5.95% | 2.99% |
| 10 | Petra Kvitova | 1705 | 41.53% | 17.07% | 8.14% | 2.49% | 1.06% |
| 11 | Magdalena Frech | 1457 | 11.79% | 1.95% | 0.38% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| 12 | Simona Halep | 1806 | 88.21% | 52.40% | 32.12% | 13.65% | 7.62% |
| 13 | Coco Gauff | 1773 | 52.16% | 41.60% | 20.88% | 8.02% | 4.12% |
| 14 | Amanda Anisimova | 1758 | 47.84% | 37.47% | 18.02% | 6.60% | 3.26% |
| 15 | Harmony Tan | 1475 | 37.30% | 5.89% | 0.94% | 0.11% | 0.02% |
| 16 | Katie Boulter | 1565 | 62.70% | 15.03% | 3.59% | 0.63% | 0.16% |
| 17 | Marie Bouzkova | 1595 | 43.80% | 20.99% | 5.06% | 1.93% | 0.40% |
| 18 | Alison Riske | 1638 | 56.20% | 30.41% | 8.71% | 3.81% | 0.94% |
| 19 | Zhang Shuai | 1581 | 42.91% | 19.12% | 4.36% | 1.59% | 0.31% |
| 20 | Caroline Garcia | 1631 | 57.09% | 29.49% | 8.21% | 3.51% | 0.84% |
| 21 | Angelique Kerber | 1730 | 60.70% | 21.94% | 14.43% | 8.07% | 2.81% |
| 22 | Elise Mertens | 1654 | 39.30% | 10.89% | 6.04% | 2.77% | 0.73% |
| 23 | Diane Parry | 1494 | 10.41% | 2.46% | 0.82% | 0.22% | 0.03% |
| 24 | Ons Jabeur | 1868 | 89.59% | 64.72% | 52.38% | 38.17% | 20.06% |
| 25 | Maria Sakkari | 1767 | 80.59% | 47.88% | 37.53% | 18.71% | 7.37% |
| 26 | Tatjana Maria | 1520 | 19.41% | 5.17% | 2.43% | 0.52% | 0.08% |
| 27 | Irina-Camelia Begu | 1628 | 34.74% | 13.05% | 8.10% | 2.63% | 0.62% |
| 28 | Jelena Ostapenko | 1737 | 65.26% | 33.90% | 25.55% | 11.75% | 4.19% |
| 29 | Heather Watson | 1470 | 36.98% | 14.56% | 2.81% | 0.49% | 0.06% |
| 30 | Kaja Juvan | 1563 | 63.02% | 33.05% | 9.45% | 2.41% | 0.43% |
| 31 | Lesia Tsurenko | 1567 | 57.38% | 31.85% | 9.29% | 2.41% | 0.44% |
| 32 | Jule Niemeier | 1516 | 42.62% | 20.54% | 4.85% | 1.02% | 0.15% |
