Saturday 29 October 2022

2022 WTA Finals Predictions

Next week, the season ending WTA Finals takes place, this time in Fort Worth. After the jump, I'll take a look at the players competing this year and how I expect the tournament to go.

The 8 players competing at this year's WTA Finals, © Getty Images
The 8 players competing at this year's WTA Finals, © Getty Images


The 8 tennis players who will be playing the WTA Finals, coloured by the group they are in, along with their ELO ratings and my estimated chances for each player to advance from their group, to make it to the final and to win the title are:

# Player ELO Adv Final Win
1 Iga Swiatek 1946 83% 58% 38%
2 Ons Jabeur 1841 65% 33% 17%
3 Jessica Pegula 1824 60% 30% 14%
4 Coco Gauff 1779 47% 22% 9%
5 Aryna Sabalenka 1756 43% 17% 7%
6 Daria Kasatkina 1740 37% 15% 6%
7 Caroline Garcia 1727 34% 13% 5%
8 Maria Sakkari 1714 32% 11% 4%

The Tracy Austin Group (Blue) is slightly tougher of the 2 groups, as it has the ELO #1 in it, while the Nancy Richey Group (Red) has the #2 and #3 ranked players in it.

(NOTE: Because the finalists could come from the same group or both groups, the numbers for the winner are a best estimate)