The Indian Wells tournament is one of the biggest of the year outside of the Grand Slams, so I'm here with a preview and predictions for how the Men's bracket will turn out. After the jump, I present a table for percentages for all 96 players competing and how they will do.
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| Stock tournament image, ©printyourbrackets.com |
But before the full table, some highlights I want to pick out.
- Roger Federer is the favourite to win the title, he has a 42.94% chance of winning the title. Novak Djokovic is 2nd favourite with 20.12%, Grigor Dimitrov is 3rd with 4.91% and Juan Martin del Potro 4th with 4.78%.
- Bradley Klahn has a really easy draw compared to other players with a similar ELO rating. I have him as the 70th most likely winner, while he is only the 82nd highest ranked player here.
- On the other hand, Jan-Lennard Struff, Leonardo Mayer and Cameron Norrie have tough draws. They are the 65th, 58th and 83rd most likely winners, but they are the 52nd, 45th and 70th highest ranked players respectively.
- The toughest 1st round draw went to Guido Pella, as he's the 85th most likely player to progress to round 2, but he's ranked 50th of the competitors.
- Bradley Klahn also got the easiest 1st round draw, as he's the 46th most likely player to advance to round 2, while he's the 82nd highest ranked competitor here.
Here's the full table. Want to be the 1st to hear of new updates? Follow
@tennis_elo on Twitter.
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R1 % |
R2 % |
R3 % |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Roger Federer |
2006 |
100.00% |
92.58% |
86.87% |
78.97% |
69.08% |
57.63% |
42.94% |
| 2 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 3 |
Ryan Harrison |
1590 |
58.41% |
4.88% |
2.85% |
1.38% |
0.56% |
0.19% |
0.05% |
| 4 |
Federico Delbonis |
1531 |
41.59% |
2.54% |
1.27% |
0.51% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 5 |
Benoit Paire |
1561 |
61.04% |
33.41% |
3.42% |
1.52% |
0.56% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
| 6 |
Mitchell Krueger |
1483 |
38.96% |
16.97% |
1.21% |
0.41% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 7 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 8 |
Filip Krajinovic |
1528 |
100.00% |
49.62% |
4.38% |
1.75% |
0.57% |
0.15% |
0.03% |
| 9 |
Adrian Mannarino |
1629 |
100.00% |
72.14% |
39.55% |
6.72% |
3.07% |
1.18% |
0.34% |
| 10 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 11 |
Marius Copil |
1482 |
56.16% |
16.86% |
5.83% |
0.55% |
0.15% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 12 |
Peter Polansky |
1439 |
43.84% |
11.00% |
3.22% |
0.25% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 13 |
Julien Bennetau |
1554 |
57.29% |
22.55% |
10.33% |
1.31% |
0.47% |
0.14% |
0.03% |
| 14 |
Jeremy Chardy |
1503 |
42.71% |
13.93% |
5.43% |
0.56% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 15 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 16 |
Adrian Mannarino |
1629 |
100.00% |
63.51% |
35.64% |
6.05% |
2.77% |
1.06% |
0.31% |
| 17 |
Fabio Fognini |
1695 |
100.00% |
73.54% |
46.49% |
26.62% |
6.58% |
3.11% |
1.14% |
| 18 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 19 |
Ivo Karlovic |
1554 |
67.76% |
20.84% |
9.22% |
3.55% |
0.53% |
0.15% |
0.03% |
| 20 |
Maximilian Marterer |
1425 |
32.24% |
5.63% |
1.59% |
0.38% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 21 |
Lukas Lacko |
1434 |
44.70% |
10.37% |
2.41% |
0.59% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 22 |
Dusan Lajovic |
1471 |
55.30% |
15.04% |
4.07% |
1.16% |
0.12% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 23 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 24 |
Chung Hyeon |
1642 |
100.00% |
74.59% |
36.23% |
18.18% |
3.74% |
1.50% |
0.46% |
| 25 |
Pablo Cuevas |
1560 |
100.00% |
55.05% |
19.68% |
7.58% |
1.15% |
0.34% |
0.08% |
| 26 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 27 |
Denis Shapovalov |
1557 |
62.27% |
30.86% |
10.92% |
4.16% |
0.62% |
0.18% |
0.04% |
| 28 |
Ricardas Berankis |
1470 |
37.73% |
14.09% |
3.62% |
1.00% |
0.10% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 29 |
Radu Albot |
1413 |
39.92% |
6.03% |
1.92% |
0.42% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 30 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas |
1484 |
60.08% |
12.68% |
5.22% |
1.52% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 31 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 32 |
Dominic Thiem |
1713 |
100.00% |
81.29% |
58.65% |
34.83% |
9.15% |
4.55% |
1.76% |
| 33 |
Grigor Dimitrov |
1795 |
100.00% |
77.05% |
59.67% |
40.82% |
26.91% |
9.97% |
4.91% |
| 34 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 35 |
Fernando Verdasco |
1610 |
59.52% |
15.26% |
8.34% |
3.71% |
1.52% |
0.30% |
0.08% |
| 36 |
Guido Pella |
1543 |
40.48% |
7.69% |
3.48% |
1.25% |
0.41% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 37 |
Taylor Fritz |
1530 |
58.41% |
22.36% |
5.22% |
1.79% |
0.55% |
0.08% |
0.02% |
| 38 |
Reilly Opelka |
1471 |
41.59% |
12.74% |
2.31% |
0.63% |
0.16% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 39 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 40 |
Andrey Rublev |
1613 |
100.00% |
64.90% |
20.97% |
9.40% |
3.90% |
0.79% |
0.21% |
| 41 |
Albert Ramos Vinolas |
1549 |
100.00% |
50.29% |
16.21% |
4.80% |
1.60% |
0.25% |
0.05% |
| 42 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 43 |
Borna Coric |
1568 |
57.01% |
30.06% |
10.37% |
3.29% |
1.17% |
0.20% |
0.05% |
| 44 |
Donald Young |
1519 |
42.99% |
19.65% |
5.66% |
1.49% |
0.44% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 45 |
Jared Donaldson |
1544 |
56.44% |
14.28% |
7.04% |
2.05% |
0.67% |
0.10% |
0.02% |
| 46 |
Evan King |
1499 |
43.56% |
9.03% |
3.87% |
0.94% |
0.26% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 47 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 48 |
Roberto Bautista Agut |
1732 |
100.00% |
76.69% |
56.84% |
29.83% |
17.22% |
5.27% |
2.17% |
| 49 |
Pablo Carreno Busta |
1594 |
100.00% |
58.75% |
20.63% |
8.83% |
3.06% |
0.57% |
0.15% |
| 50 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 51 |
Horacio Zeballos |
1515 |
45.41% |
17.63% |
4.57% |
1.49% |
0.38% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 52 |
Yuichi Sugita |
1547 |
54.59% |
23.63% |
6.96% |
2.55% |
0.74% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
| 53 |
Steve Johnson |
1577 |
48.71% |
13.08% |
6.69% |
2.71% |
0.88% |
0.16% |
0.04% |
| 54 |
Daniil Medvedev |
1586 |
51.29% |
14.31% |
7.50% |
3.13% |
1.05% |
0.19% |
0.05% |
| 55 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 56 |
Nick Kyrgios |
1751 |
100.00% |
72.61% |
53.65% |
34.45% |
18.98% |
6.16% |
2.68% |
| 57 |
Damir Dzumhur |
1616 |
100.00% |
66.47% |
27.98% |
11.96% |
4.46% |
0.91% |
0.25% |
| 58 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 59 |
Nicolas Kicker |
1468 |
42.85% |
12.81% |
3.09% |
0.78% |
0.16% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 60 |
Jiri Vesely |
1518 |
57.15% |
20.72% |
6.13% |
1.87% |
0.49% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 61 |
Karen Khachanov |
1629 |
74.91% |
29.29% |
16.76% |
7.45% |
2.90% |
0.62% |
0.18% |
| 62 |
Evgeny Donskoy |
1439 |
25.09% |
4.44% |
1.40% |
0.31% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 63 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 64 |
Kevin Anderson |
1706 |
100.00% |
66.27% |
44.63% |
24.47% |
12.01% |
3.38% |
1.28% |
| 65 |
Jack Sock |
1647 |
100.00% |
76.89% |
47.23% |
24.42% |
10.58% |
2.94% |
0.70% |
| 66 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 67 |
Thomas Fabbiano |
1401 |
41.31% |
8.07% |
2.30% |
0.50% |
0.08% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 68 |
Bradley Klahn |
1462 |
58.69% |
15.05% |
5.42% |
1.51% |
0.32% |
0.04% |
0.00% |
| 69 |
Frances Tiafoe |
1516 |
58.27% |
22.15% |
8.55% |
2.92% |
0.79% |
0.13% |
0.02% |
| 70 |
Ernesto Escobedo |
1458 |
41.73% |
12.73% |
4.01% |
1.10% |
0.23% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 71 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 72 |
Feliciano Lopez |
1601 |
100.00% |
65.12% |
32.49% |
14.74% |
5.48% |
1.27% |
0.25% |
| 73 |
Sam Querrey |
1617 |
100.00% |
66.55% |
30.14% |
15.84% |
6.22% |
1.54% |
0.33% |
| 74 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 75 |
Mikhail Kukushkin |
1458 |
40.75% |
11.65% |
3.00% |
0.94% |
0.20% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 76 |
Mischa Zverev |
1523 |
59.25% |
21.80% |
7.22% |
2.86% |
0.79% |
0.13% |
0.02% |
| 77 |
Yuki Bhambri |
1494 |
44.84% |
10.63% |
4.08% |
1.46% |
0.36% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 78 |
Nicolas Mahut |
1530 |
55.16% |
15.26% |
6.60% |
2.68% |
0.76% |
0.13% |
0.02% |
| 79 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 80 |
Lucas Pouille |
1697 |
100.00% |
74.11% |
48.95% |
31.03% |
15.58% |
5.19% |
1.48% |
| 81 |
Diego Schwartzman |
1677 |
100.00% |
66.59% |
38.83% |
17.31% |
9.76% |
3.03% |
0.81% |
| 82 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 83 |
Marcos Baghdatis |
1579 |
57.57% |
20.87% |
9.30% |
2.97% |
1.27% |
0.27% |
0.05% |
| 84 |
Yoshihito Nishioka |
1526 |
42.43% |
12.53% |
4.68% |
1.22% |
0.44% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 85 |
Denis Istomin |
1515 |
39.37% |
12.45% |
4.16% |
1.04% |
0.36% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 86 |
Peter Gojowczyk |
1590 |
60.63% |
25.22% |
10.92% |
3.64% |
1.61% |
0.36% |
0.07% |
| 87 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 88 |
Kyle Edmund |
1649 |
100.00% |
62.34% |
32.12% |
13.11% |
6.88% |
1.92% |
0.46% |
| 89 |
Milos Raonic |
1700 |
100.00% |
79.40% |
37.43% |
22.06% |
13.13% |
4.42% |
1.28% |
| 90 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 91 |
Vasek Pospisil |
1452 |
46.41% |
8.98% |
1.77% |
0.46% |
0.12% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 92 |
Felix Auger-Aliassime |
1477 |
53.59% |
11.63% |
2.53% |
0.73% |
0.22% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 93 |
Mikhail Youzhny |
1438 |
46.12% |
6.25% |
1.49% |
0.37% |
0.09% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 94 |
Joao Sousa |
1465 |
53.88% |
8.34% |
2.22% |
0.61% |
0.17% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 95 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 96 |
Alexander Zverev |
1760 |
100.00% |
85.42% |
54.57% |
36.48% |
24.54% |
10.05% |
3.54% |
| 97 |
Juan Martin del Potro |
1811 |
100.00% |
82.78% |
64.60% |
26.16% |
17.29% |
11.68% |
4.78% |
| 98 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 99 |
Jan-Lennard Struff |
1533 |
48.56% |
8.16% |
3.50% |
0.48% |
0.14% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 100 |
Alex De Minaur |
1543 |
51.44% |
9.06% |
4.01% |
0.57% |
0.18% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 101 |
Nikoloz Basilashvili |
1473 |
46.12% |
13.46% |
2.34% |
0.24% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 102 |
Tennys Sandgren |
1500 |
53.88% |
17.51% |
3.42% |
0.40% |
0.11% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 103 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 104 |
David Ferrer |
1627 |
100.00% |
69.03% |
22.14% |
4.56% |
1.90% |
0.81% |
0.18% |
| 105 |
Kei Nishikori |
1742 |
100.00% |
78.87% |
22.05% |
11.24% |
6.43% |
3.77% |
1.25% |
| 106 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 107 |
Leonardo Mayer |
1549 |
68.13% |
16.88% |
2.15% |
0.59% |
0.19% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 108 |
Victor Estrella Burgos |
1417 |
31.87% |
4.25% |
0.30% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 109 |
Taro Daniel |
1404 |
38.14% |
1.69% |
0.29% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 110 |
Cameron Norrie |
1488 |
61.86% |
4.32% |
1.05% |
0.23% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 111 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 112 |
Novak Djokovic |
1938 |
100.00% |
94.00% |
74.16% |
55.43% |
44.22% |
35.80% |
20.12% |
| 113 |
John Isner |
1626 |
100.00% |
45.67% |
24.67% |
10.02% |
2.24% |
0.95% |
0.21% |
| 114 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 115 |
Gael Monfils |
1703 |
80.02% |
48.73% |
31.44% |
15.95% |
4.82% |
2.57% |
0.75% |
| 116 |
Matthew Ebden |
1462 |
19.98% |
5.60% |
1.77% |
0.39% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 117 |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert |
1491 |
38.01% |
11.92% |
3.40% |
0.85% |
0.10% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 118 |
Gilles Simon |
1576 |
61.99% |
26.48% |
10.35% |
3.56% |
0.64% |
0.23% |
0.04% |
| 119 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 120 |
Gilles Muller |
1627 |
100.00% |
61.60% |
28.37% |
11.56% |
2.60% |
1.11% |
0.24% |
| 121 |
Philipp Kohlschreiber |
1621 |
100.00% |
71.79% |
25.93% |
12.34% |
2.70% |
1.13% |
0.24% |
| 122 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 123 |
Tim Smyczek |
1416 |
40.20% |
9.45% |
1.50% |
0.34% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 124 |
Laslo Djere |
1485 |
59.80% |
18.76% |
4.04% |
1.20% |
0.14% |
0.04% |
0.00% |
| 125 |
Victor Troicki |
1547 |
55.73% |
11.98% |
5.49% |
2.06% |
0.33% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
| 126 |
Marton Fucsovics |
1507 |
44.27% |
7.91% |
3.20% |
1.03% |
0.14% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 127 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 128 |
Marin Cilic |
1772 |
100.00% |
80.11% |
59.84% |
40.69% |
15.63% |
9.78% |
3.57% |
