The Indian Wells tournament is one of the biggest of the year outside of the Grand Slams, so I'm here with a look at how the 2nd week of the Men's bracket will turn out. After the jump, I present a table with percentages for all 16 players remaining.
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| Indian Wells logo, © BNP Paribas Open |
But before the full table, some highlights I want to pick out.
- Of the 4 favourites for the title, 3 of them are still in. Andrey Rublev lost in round 3 to Tommy Paul.
- The players with the easiest and hardest overall draws, Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev, are both still in. The player with the easiest round 1 match, Zachary Svajda, lost his match against Salvatore Caruso; and the player with the hardest round 1 match, Adrian Mannarino,lost his match vs Andy Murray.
- Daniil Medvedev is still the favourite to win the title, as he has a 27.92% chance of winning the tournament, Alexander Zverev is 2nd favourite with 26.14%, Stefanos Tsitsipas 3rd with 17.81% and Casper Ruud 4th with 7.6%.
- Overall, Daniil Medvedev now has the easiest draw here, as he is 1.78 percentage points more likely to take the title than a player of his ranking would expect. On the other hand, Alexander Zverev now has the toughest overall draw, as he is 1.78 percentage points less likely to win the tournament than what his ranking would suggest.
- Karen Khachanov has the easiest round 4 match relative to his ranking, as he's 22.49 percentage points more likely to make it to the quarter finals than expected. Diego Schwartzman has a tough 4th round match, as he is 22.41 percentage points less likely to get to the next round than expected.
Here's the full table. Want to be the 1st to hear of new updates? Follow @tennis_elo on Twitter.
| # | Name | ELO | R4 % | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniil Medvedev | 1920 | 80.23% | 63.92% | 46.91% | 27.92% |
| 2 | Grigor Dimitrov | 1676 | 19.77% | 9.77% | 4.03% | 1.15% |
| 3 | Aslan Karatsev | 1637 | 39.76% | 8.72% | 3.14% | 0.76% |
| 4 | Hubert Hurkacz | 1709 | 60.24% | 17.59% | 8.05% | 2.59% |
| 5 | Tommy Paul | 1571 | 29.35% | 7.37% | 1.48% | 0.27% |
| 6 | Cameron Norrie | 1724 | 70.65% | 31.36% | 11.22% | 3.80% |
| 7 | Diego Schwartzman | 1715 | 38.79% | 21.27% | 7.38% | 2.42% |
| 8 | Casper Ruud | 1794 | 61.21% | 40.00% | 17.78% | 7.60% |
| 9 | Taylor Fritz | 1622 | 31.49% | 6.37% | 1.87% | 0.48% |
| 10 | Jannik Sinner | 1757 | 68.51% | 23.45% | 10.79% | 4.50% |
| 11 | Gael Monfils | 1684 | 20.06% | 9.16% | 3.35% | 1.10% |
| 12 | Alexander Zverev | 1924 | 79.94% | 61.03% | 41.18% | 26.14% |
| 13 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1613 | 37.75% | 9.31% | 2.10% | 0.52% |
| 14 | Karen Khachanov | 1700 | 62.25% | 21.30% | 6.74% | 2.33% |
| 15 | Alex De Minaur | 1632 | 20.56% | 9.26% | 2.26% | 0.61% |
| 16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1867 | 79.44% | 60.13% | 31.71% | 17.81% |
