The semi finals of the US Open have finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 52 | 58 |
| 11-20 | -17 | -10 |
| 21-50 | 86 | 54 |
| 51-100 | -81 | -103 |
| 101-150 | -59 | -1 |
These numbers are final, as all 4 finalists are top 10 players.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casper Ruud | 1839 | 44.52% |
| 2 | Carlos Alcaraz | 1877 | 55.48% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iga Swiatek | 1925 | 59.00% |
| 2 | Ons Jabeur | 1862 | 41.00% |
What do you think? I have a couple of polls open on Twitter to get your thoughts on these numbers. Polls will remain open until play starts.
My numbers have 🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz as a 55% favourite to win the #USopen Men's singles title over 🇳🇴 Casper Ruud. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right? #ATP #tennis
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) September 10, 2022
My numbers have 🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek as a 59% favourite to win the #USopen Women's singles title over 🇹🇳 Ons Jabeur. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right? #WTA #tennis
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) September 9, 2022
