The 4th round of the US Open has finished, so let's take a look at how that affected my rankings of the players still in and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 54 | 47 |
| 11-20 | -4 | -13 |
| 21-50 | 72 | 69 |
| 51-100 | -81 | -103 |
| 101-150 | -59 | -1 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Kyrgios | 1845 | 69.16% | 36.82% | 19.99% |
| 2 | Karen Khachanov | 1704 | 30.84% | 10.39% | 3.64% |
| 3 | Matteo Berrettini | 1823 | 50.10% | 26.47% | 13.55% |
| 4 | Casper Ruud | 1822 | 49.90% | 26.32% | 13.44% |
| 5 | Jannik Sinner | 1826 | 44.77% | 27.23% | 13.90% |
| 6 | Carlos Alcaraz | 1863 | 55.23% | 36.24% | 20.37% |
| 7 | Andrey Rublev | 1784 | 63.70% | 26.19% | 11.79% |
| 8 | Frances Tiafoe | 1686 | 36.30% | 10.34% | 3.31% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iga Swiatek | 1912 | 67.16% | 47.43% | 31.12% |
| 2 | Jessica Pegula | 1788 | 32.84% | 17.76% | 8.64% |
| 3 | Karolina Pliskova | 1740 | 45.03% | 14.58% | 6.13% |
| 4 | Aryna Sabalenka | 1775 | 54.97% | 20.22% | 9.47% |
| 5 | Coco Gauff | 1789 | 54.69% | 26.20% | 11.36% |
| 6 | Caroline Garcia | 1756 | 45.31% | 19.67% | 7.67% |
| 7 | Ons Jabeur | 1849 | 71.47% | 43.28% | 22.31% |
| 8 | Ajla Tomljanovic | 1689 | 28.53% | 10.85% | 3.32% |
