The semi finals of the French Open have finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 8 | -51 |
| 11-20 | 22 | -11 |
| 21-50 | 9 | 46 |
| 51-100 | -50 | 22 |
| 101-150 | 3 | -29 |
Those numbers above will change after the final, as while both finals contain a top 10 player, they both also have an 11-20 ranked player in them.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2049 | 82.73% |
| 2 | Casper Ruud | 1776 | 17.27% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iga Swiatek | 1984 | 77.87% |
| 2 | Karolina Muchova | 1765 | 22.13% |
What do you think? I have a couple of polls open on Twitter to get your thoughts on these numbers. Polls will remain open until play starts.
My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as an 83% favourite to win the #RolandGarros men's singles title over 🇳🇴 Casper Ruud. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 9, 2023
My numbers have 🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek as a 78% favourite to win the #RolandGarros women's singles title over 🇨🇿 Karolina Muchova. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 8, 2023
