The 2nd round of the French Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
 |
| French Open logo, © French Open |
View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 2 | -28 |
| 11-20 | 27 | -45 |
| 21-50 | 10 | 34 |
| 51-100 | -43 | 35 |
| 101-150 | -3 | -33 |
Follow
@tennis_elo on Twitter to be the 1st to hear of new blog posts and more.
Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R3 % |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Carlos Alcaraz |
1944 |
84.09% |
66.40% |
47.30% |
23.74% |
17.49% |
| 2 |
Denis Shapovalov |
1655 |
15.91% |
6.67% |
2.41% |
0.46% |
0.17% |
| 3 |
Lorenzo Musetti |
1666 |
39.35% |
8.80% |
3.30% |
0.66% |
0.25% |
| 4 |
Cameron Norrie |
1742 |
60.65% |
18.13% |
8.44% |
2.27% |
1.08% |
| 5 |
Fabio Fognini |
1543 |
49.29% |
9.86% |
1.54% |
0.18% |
0.04% |
| 6 |
Sebastian Ofner |
1548 |
50.71% |
10.35% |
1.65% |
0.20% |
0.05% |
| 7 |
Diego Schwartzman |
1561 |
16.08% |
8.39% |
1.42% |
0.18% |
0.05% |
| 8 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas |
1848 |
83.92% |
71.40% |
33.94% |
13.04% |
8.09% |
| 9 |
Novak Djokovic |
2034 |
89.70% |
78.25% |
64.01% |
45.79% |
37.68% |
| 10 |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
1658 |
10.30% |
4.74% |
1.70% |
0.43% |
0.16% |
| 11 |
Juan Pablo Varillas |
1518 |
22.42% |
1.69% |
0.35% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 12 |
Hubert Hurkacz |
1734 |
77.58% |
15.32% |
7.01% |
2.34% |
1.09% |
| 13 |
Karen Khachanov |
1752 |
70.70% |
33.01% |
8.33% |
2.96% |
1.45% |
| 14 |
Thanasi Kokkinakis |
1599 |
29.30% |
8.12% |
1.12% |
0.22% |
0.06% |
| 15 |
Lorenzo Sonego |
1611 |
22.91% |
8.47% |
1.23% |
0.26% |
0.08% |
| 16 |
Andrey Rublev |
1822 |
77.09% |
50.40% |
16.25% |
7.23% |
4.24% |
| 17 |
Holger Rune |
1827 |
85.36% |
52.26% |
36.44% |
23.32% |
8.19% |
| 18 |
Genaro Alberto Olivieri |
1521 |
14.64% |
3.23% |
0.96% |
0.24% |
0.02% |
| 19 |
Francisco Cerundolo |
1665 |
33.34% |
11.44% |
5.54% |
2.35% |
0.44% |
| 20 |
Taylor Fritz |
1785 |
66.66% |
33.07% |
21.38% |
12.53% |
3.80% |
| 21 |
Nicolas Jarry |
1647 |
58.59% |
25.58% |
8.08% |
3.23% |
0.56% |
| 22 |
Marcos Giron |
1587 |
41.41% |
14.87% |
3.70% |
1.20% |
0.16% |
| 23 |
Zhang Zhizhen |
1529 |
22.85% |
8.44% |
1.63% |
0.42% |
0.04% |
| 24 |
Casper Ruud |
1740 |
77.15% |
51.11% |
22.27% |
11.69% |
2.98% |
| 25 |
Daniel Altmaier |
1465 |
19.97% |
2.85% |
0.81% |
0.13% |
0.01% |
| 26 |
Grigor Dimitrov |
1706 |
80.03% |
31.60% |
19.13% |
8.16% |
1.82% |
| 27 |
Alexander Zverev |
1818 |
64.12% |
44.95% |
33.33% |
19.30% |
6.56% |
| 28 |
Frances Tiafoe |
1717 |
35.88% |
20.60% |
12.76% |
5.63% |
1.31% |
| 29 |
Borna Coric |
1688 |
67.93% |
43.70% |
17.97% |
7.23% |
1.49% |
| 30 |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
1558 |
32.07% |
14.89% |
3.77% |
0.93% |
0.11% |
| 31 |
Yoshihito Nishioka |
1622 |
66.09% |
30.78% |
10.05% |
3.21% |
0.50% |
| 32 |
Thiago Seyboth Wild |
1506 |
33.91% |
10.62% |
2.16% |
0.43% |
0.04% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R3 % |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1971 |
93.29% |
78.66% |
64.47% |
47.30% |
33.97% |
| 2 |
Wang Xinyu |
1514 |
6.71% |
1.90% |
0.57% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
| 3 |
Bianca Andreescu |
1703 |
59.28% |
12.73% |
6.68% |
2.60% |
0.98% |
| 4 |
Lesia Tsurenko |
1638 |
40.72% |
6.71% |
2.97% |
0.92% |
0.28% |
| 5 |
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova |
1456 |
47.81% |
9.10% |
0.81% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
| 6 |
Kayla Day |
1471 |
52.19% |
10.62% |
1.01% |
0.15% |
0.02% |
| 7 |
Mirra Andreeva |
1553 |
22.24% |
13.90% |
1.93% |
0.42% |
0.09% |
| 8 |
Coco Gauff |
1770 |
77.76% |
66.38% |
21.58% |
10.30% |
4.79% |
| 9 |
Elena Rybakina |
1854 |
80.15% |
57.12% |
37.27% |
17.09% |
9.84% |
| 10 |
Sara Sorribes Tormo |
1611 |
19.85% |
7.56% |
2.62% |
0.52% |
0.14% |
| 11 |
Ekaterina Alexandrova |
1697 |
50.33% |
17.85% |
8.08% |
2.25% |
0.83% |
| 12 |
Beatriz Haddad Maia |
1695 |
49.67% |
17.47% |
7.85% |
2.17% |
0.80% |
| 13 |
Elisabetta Cocciaretto |
1554 |
43.58% |
10.55% |
2.39% |
0.37% |
0.08% |
| 14 |
Bernada Pera |
1599 |
56.42% |
16.22% |
4.41% |
0.84% |
0.22% |
| 15 |
Olga Danilovic |
1524 |
15.99% |
6.73% |
1.34% |
0.18% |
0.03% |
| 16 |
Ons Jabeur |
1812 |
84.01% |
66.50% |
36.06% |
14.66% |
7.63% |
| 17 |
Karolina Muchova |
1731 |
60.41% |
43.32% |
20.75% |
8.58% |
2.72% |
| 18 |
Irina-Camelia Begu |
1658 |
39.59% |
24.78% |
9.43% |
3.08% |
0.74% |
| 19 |
Clara Tauson |
1603 |
64.48% |
23.39% |
7.32% |
1.96% |
0.37% |
| 20 |
Elina Avanesyan |
1500 |
35.52% |
8.52% |
1.74% |
0.30% |
0.04% |
| 21 |
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova |
1643 |
42.77% |
13.93% |
6.57% |
2.04% |
0.46% |
| 22 |
Anastasia Potapova |
1694 |
57.23% |
22.29% |
12.07% |
4.44% |
1.23% |
| 23 |
Elise Mertens |
1652 |
27.47% |
12.95% |
6.27% |
2.01% |
0.47% |
| 24 |
Jessica Pegula |
1821 |
72.53% |
50.83% |
35.85% |
18.92% |
8.09% |
| 25 |
Anna Blinkova |
1550 |
32.49% |
11.10% |
2.21% |
0.60% |
0.09% |
| 26 |
Elina Svitolina |
1677 |
67.51% |
34.60% |
11.05% |
4.76% |
1.23% |
| 27 |
Peyton Stearns |
1569 |
30.60% |
12.44% |
2.66% |
0.78% |
0.13% |
| 28 |
Daria Kasatkina |
1711 |
69.40% |
41.85% |
14.96% |
7.13% |
2.10% |
| 29 |
Sloane Stephens |
1598 |
46.75% |
9.40% |
3.84% |
1.27% |
0.24% |
| 30 |
Yulia Putintseva |
1621 |
53.25% |
11.72% |
5.16% |
1.84% |
0.38% |
| 31 |
Kamilla Rakhimova |
1502 |
9.54% |
3.33% |
0.96% |
0.21% |
0.03% |
| 32 |
Aryna Sabalenka |
1892 |
90.46% |
75.54% |
59.16% |
42.08% |
21.94% |
