The 3rd round of the French Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
 |
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 5 | -47 |
| 11-20 | -12 | -37 |
| 21-50 | 52 | 45 |
| 51-100 | -58 | 37 |
| 101-150 | 4 | -26 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Carlos Alcaraz |
1947 |
82.44% |
55.78% |
25.14% |
18.23% |
| 2 |
Lorenzo Musetti |
1679 |
17.56% |
5.83% |
1.02% |
0.38% |
| 3 |
Sebastian Ofner |
1558 |
15.60% |
2.15% |
0.22% |
0.05% |
| 4 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas |
1851 |
84.40% |
36.24% |
12.14% |
7.37% |
| 5 |
Novak Djokovic |
2036 |
94.76% |
81.36% |
56.18% |
45.69% |
| 6 |
Juan Pablo Varillas |
1534 |
5.24% |
1.39% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
| 7 |
Karen Khachanov |
1758 |
67.99% |
13.57% |
4.42% |
2.12% |
| 8 |
Lorenzo Sonego |
1627 |
32.01% |
3.68% |
0.71% |
0.22% |
| 9 |
Holger Rune |
1830 |
70.52% |
46.69% |
28.71% |
9.05% |
| 10 |
Francisco Cerundolo |
1678 |
29.48% |
13.37% |
5.54% |
0.94% |
| 11 |
Nicolas Jarry |
1655 |
37.43% |
12.23% |
4.70% |
0.72% |
| 12 |
Casper Ruud |
1745 |
62.57% |
27.72% |
13.92% |
3.14% |
| 13 |
Grigor Dimitrov |
1710 |
34.06% |
22.00% |
9.34% |
1.82% |
| 14 |
Alexander Zverev |
1825 |
65.94% |
51.36% |
29.91% |
9.26% |
| 15 |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
1571 |
41.78% |
9.61% |
2.44% |
0.25% |
| 16 |
Yoshihito Nishioka |
1629 |
58.22% |
17.03% |
5.44% |
0.73% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1972 |
86.48% |
67.90% |
52.81% |
38.20% |
| 2 |
Lesia Tsurenko |
1650 |
13.52% |
5.25% |
1.96% |
0.63% |
| 3 |
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova |
1466 |
14.49% |
1.15% |
0.20% |
0.03% |
| 4 |
Coco Gauff |
1775 |
85.51% |
25.70% |
13.88% |
6.62% |
| 5 |
Sara Sorribes Tormo |
1627 |
39.03% |
12.39% |
2.38% |
0.70% |
| 6 |
Beatriz Haddad Maia |
1705 |
60.97% |
25.24% |
6.62% |
2.56% |
| 7 |
Bernada Pera |
1608 |
23.24% |
9.43% |
1.66% |
0.45% |
| 8 |
Ons Jabeur |
1815 |
76.76% |
52.95% |
20.49% |
10.86% |
| 9 |
Karolina Muchova |
1739 |
78.65% |
48.00% |
18.94% |
6.23% |
| 10 |
Elina Avanesyan |
1513 |
21.35% |
6.37% |
1.04% |
0.13% |
| 11 |
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova |
1655 |
48.27% |
21.63% |
6.37% |
1.53% |
| 12 |
Elise Mertens |
1667 |
51.73% |
24.01% |
7.39% |
1.86% |
| 13 |
Elina Svitolina |
1684 |
45.20% |
13.11% |
6.44% |
1.73% |
| 14 |
Daria Kasatkina |
1717 |
54.80% |
17.95% |
9.66% |
2.94% |
| 15 |
Sloane Stephens |
1609 |
16.21% |
5.99% |
2.33% |
0.46% |
| 16 |
Aryna Sabalenka |
1894 |
83.79% |
62.95% |
47.83% |
25.07% |
