The 4th round of the French Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
 |
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 19 | -32 |
| 11-20 | 1 | -33 |
| 21-50 | 16 | 50 |
| 51-100 | -46 | 22 |
| 101-150 | 3 | -29 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Carlos Alcaraz |
1951 |
63.52% |
28.00% |
19.29% |
| 2 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas |
1854 |
36.48% |
11.74% |
6.60% |
| 3 |
Novak Djokovic |
2037 |
82.84% |
55.16% |
43.24% |
| 4 |
Karen Khachanov |
1764 |
17.16% |
5.11% |
2.23% |
| 5 |
Holger Rune |
1836 |
61.81% |
34.91% |
10.92% |
| 6 |
Casper Ruud |
1752 |
38.19% |
17.29% |
3.87% |
| 7 |
Alexander Zverev |
1831 |
80.72% |
43.53% |
13.41% |
| 8 |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
1583 |
19.28% |
4.27% |
0.43% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1975 |
75.73% |
56.66% |
39.67% |
| 2 |
Coco Gauff |
1778 |
24.27% |
11.97% |
5.34% |
| 3 |
Beatriz Haddad Maia |
1713 |
35.06% |
8.27% |
3.00% |
| 4 |
Ons Jabeur |
1820 |
64.94% |
23.10% |
11.61% |
| 5 |
Karolina Muchova |
1743 |
61.04% |
21.82% |
6.71% |
| 6 |
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova |
1665 |
38.96% |
10.41% |
2.35% |
| 7 |
Elina Svitolina |
1695 |
23.71% |
11.23% |
2.86% |
| 8 |
Aryna Sabalenka |
1898 |
76.29% |
56.54% |
28.46% |
