The semi finals of Wimbledon has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do in the final of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 72 | 31 |
| 11-20 | -37 | 31 |
| 21-50 | -8 | 56 |
| 51-100 | -25 | -42 |
| 101-150 | 25 | -81 |
The Men's numbers won't change as the two finalists are the top 2 players in my rankings, but the Women's numvers will as one player is in my top 10 and the other one is in my top 20.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Alcaraz | 1992 | 39.53% |
| 2 | Novak Djokovic | 2066 | 60.47% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marketa Vondrousova | 1786 | 44.17% |
| 2 | Ons Jabeur | 1827 | 55.83% |
What do you think? I have a couple of polls open on Twitter to get your thoughts on these numbers. Polls will remain open until play starts.
My numbers give 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic a 60% chance to win the #Wimbledon men's singles title over 🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 14, 2023
My numbers give 🇹🇳 Ons Jabeur a 56% chance to win the #Wimbledon women's singles title over 🇨🇿 Marketa Vondrousova. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) July 13, 2023
