The fourth round of Wimbledon has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 63 | 54 |
| 11-20 | -32 | 17 |
| 21-50 | -8 | 48 |
| 51-100 | -19 | -42 |
| 101-150 | 25 | -81 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Carlos Alcaraz |
1973 |
68.22% |
41.42% |
20.55% |
| 2 |
Holger Rune |
1841 |
31.78% |
13.69% |
4.56% |
| 3 |
Daniil Medvedev |
1926 |
88.23% |
43.47% |
18.96% |
| 4 |
Christopher Eubanks |
1576 |
11.77% |
1.41% |
0.16% |
| 5 |
Jannik Sinner |
1816 |
80.78% |
20.84% |
7.17% |
| 6 |
Roman Safiullin |
1566 |
19.22% |
1.58% |
0.18% |
| 7 |
Andrey Rublev |
1826 |
20.82% |
11.93% |
4.27% |
| 8 |
Novak Djokovic |
2058 |
79.18% |
65.65% |
44.15% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1986 |
83.17% |
61.96% |
42.79% |
| 2 |
Elina Svitolina |
1708 |
16.83% |
6.29% |
1.99% |
| 3 |
Jessica Pegula |
1822 |
57.94% |
19.92% |
9.34% |
| 4 |
Marketa Vondrousova |
1766 |
42.06% |
11.83% |
4.64% |
| 5 |
Ons Jabeur |
1804 |
44.18% |
19.37% |
6.98% |
| 6 |
Elena Rybakina |
1844 |
55.82% |
27.61% |
11.36% |
| 7 |
Madison Keys |
1754 |
31.32% |
12.45% |
3.76% |
| 8 |
Aryna Sabalenka |
1890 |
68.68% |
40.58% |
19.13% |
