We're down to the last 16, so I'm going to update my Indian Wells predictions, but firstly, after the jump, a look at how the early rounds went.
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Indian Wells logo, © BNP Paribas Open
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- Of the 4 favourites for the title before the tournament, 2 of them are still in. Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev both lost in round 3.
- Whilst Marco Cecchinato had the easiest overall draw, this didn't help him to victory, as he lost to Albert Ramos Vinolas in round 2. Daniel Evans had the toughest overall draw (and toughest 1st round draw) and lost to Stan Wawrinka as expected in round 1.
- Bjorn Fratangelo had the easiest 1st round draw and won his round 1 match before losing in round 2.
But what about the future? Let's take a look at what the rest of the tournament looks like.
- Rafael Nadal is now the favourite to win the title with a 39.18% chance, Roger Federer is the 2nd favourite at 34.21%, Milos Raonic is 3rd at 5.9%, and Gael Monfils 4th most likely with 5.84%.
- The easiest draw relative to his ranking has gone to Jan-Lennard Struff. He is the 8th most likely winner, but he is the 11th highest ranked player in the tournament.
- On the other hand, John Isner has the toughest draw relative to his ranking, as he's the 10th most likely to win while having the 7th highest ranking of the remaining players.
- Gael Monfils and Filip Krajinovic have the toughest 4th round matches, as they're the 6th and 16th most likely players to win their next matches, while they are the 3rd and 13th highest ranked players still competing.
- The player with the easiest next match compared to his ranking is Miomir Kecmanovic. He's the 10th most likely to make it to the quarter finals, while he's the 16th highest ranked player remaining.
Now, the full table. Want to be the 1st to hear of new updates? Follow
@tennis_elo on Twitter.
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R1 % |
R2 % |
R3 % |
R4 % |
| 1 |
Philipp Kohlschreiber |
1641 |
36.20% |
16.35% |
7.96% |
1.33% |
| 2 |
Gael Monfils |
1740 |
63.80% |
37.33% |
23.15% |
5.84% |
| 3 |
Ivo Karlovic |
1528 |
24.57% |
6.62% |
2.24% |
0.22% |
| 4 |
Dominic Thiem |
1723 |
75.43% |
39.70% |
23.75% |
5.60% |
| 5 |
Jan-Lennard Struff |
1619 |
35.26% |
20.79% |
7.97% |
1.21% |
| 6 |
Milos Raonic |
1725 |
64.74% |
46.86% |
24.80% |
5.90% |
| 7 |
Yoshihito Nishioka |
1587 |
61.86% |
22.40% |
7.67% |
1.01% |
| 8 |
Miomir Kecmanovic |
1503 |
38.14% |
9.96% |
2.44% |
0.21% |
| 9 |
Hubert Hurkacz |
1520 |
35.83% |
3.88% |
0.46% |
0.13% |
| 10 |
Denis Shapovalov |
1622 |
64.17% |
11.06% |
2.03% |
0.81% |
| 11 |
Kyle Edmund |
1674 |
16.06% |
9.99% |
2.26% |
1.07% |
| 12 |
Roger Federer |
1961 |
83.94% |
75.06% |
41.77% |
34.21% |
| 13 |
John Isner |
1675 |
43.92% |
8.35% |
2.19% |
1.04% |
| 14 |
Karen Khachanov |
1717 |
56.08% |
12.63% |
3.84% |
2.05% |
| 15 |
Filip Krajinovic |
1579 |
8.96% |
2.99% |
0.55% |
0.19% |
| 16 |
Rafael Nadal |
1981 |
91.04% |
76.03% |
46.91% |
39.18% |
