The quarter finals of the Australian Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | -13 | 19 |
| 11-20 | 52 | -33 |
| 21-50 | -48 | 57 |
| 51-100 | 33 | 7 |
| 101-150 | 15 | 7 |
The Men's numbers above are final, as both players remaining are top 10 players, the Women's numbers will change as one player is a top 10 player and the other was a 21-50 ranked player at the start of the Grand Slam.
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1861 | 21.64% |
| 2 | Novak Djokovic | 2084 | 78.36% |
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elena Rybakina | 1766 | 40.16% |
| 2 | Aryna Sabalenka | 1835 | 59.84% |
My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as a 78% favourite to win the #AusOpen Men's singles title over 🇬🇷 Stefanos Tsitsipas. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) January 27, 2023
My numbers have 🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka as a 60% favourite to win the #AusOpen Women's singles title over 🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) January 26, 2023
