The semi finals of the US Open is now complete, so let's take a look at how that affected my rankings of the players still in and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
---|---|---|
1-10 | 45 | 51 |
11-20 | -7 | 30 |
21-50 | -53 | -34 |
51-100 | -57 | -3 |
101-150 | 8 | -31 |
These numbers are final, as all 4 finalists are top 10 players.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
# | Name | ELO | R7 % |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Daniil Medvedev | 1937 | 30.27% |
2 | Novak Djokovic | 2082 | 69.73% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
# | Name | ELO | R7 % |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Coco Gauff | 1869 | 45.17% |
2 | Aryna Sabalenka | 1902 | 54.83% |
What do you think? I have a couple of polls open on Twitter to get your thoughts on these numbers. Polls will remain open until play starts.
My numbers have π·πΈ Novak Djokovic as a 70% favourite to win the #USOpen men's singles title over π·πΊ Daniil Medvedev. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) September 9, 2023
My numbers have π§πΎ Aryna Sabalenka as a 55% favourite to win the #USOpen women's singles title over πΊπΈ Coco Gauff. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) September 8, 2023