The 4th round of the US Open is now complete, so let's take a look at how that affected my rankings of the players still in and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 42 | 37 |
| 11-20 | 11 | 32 |
| 21-50 | -53 | -22 |
| 51-100 | -57 | -3 |
| 101-150 | -6 | -31 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Alcaraz | 2000 | 68.13% | 44.97% | 22.09% |
| 2 | Alexander Zverev | 1868 | 31.87% | 15.27% | 5.13% |
| 3 | Daniil Medvedev | 1917 | 63.43% | 28.12% | 11.01% |
| 4 | Andrey Rublev | 1822 | 36.57% | 11.64% | 3.36% |
| 5 | Frances Tiafoe | 1738 | 74.65% | 12.82% | 3.18% |
| 6 | Ben Shelton | 1550 | 25.35% | 1.79% | 0.18% |
| 7 | Taylor Fritz | 1781 | 15.34% | 9.51% | 2.82% |
| 8 | Novak Djokovic | 2078 | 84.66% | 75.88% | 52.22% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R5 % | R6 % | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jelena Ostapenko | 1763 | 37.39% | 18.97% | 7.61% |
| 2 | Coco Gauff | 1853 | 62.61% | 39.47% | 20.71% |
| 3 | Sorana Cirstea | 1686 | 34.76% | 11.12% | 3.38% |
| 4 | Karolina Muchova | 1796 | 65.24% | 30.44% | 13.56% |
| 5 | Marketa Vondrousova | 1827 | 59.50% | 28.30% | 15.21% |
| 6 | Madison Keys | 1760 | 40.50% | 15.65% | 6.94% |
| 7 | Zheng Qinwen | 1706 | 25.74% | 9.52% | 3.53% |
| 8 | Aryna Sabalenka | 1890 | 74.26% | 46.53% | 29.06% |
