View my 2nd week tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, and after the jump, I present some stats I calculated for the top 150 players, my latest ELO ratings for the finalists, and how likely they are to win the match. Who do you think the favourite is?
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 52 | -98 |
| 11-20 | 4 | 53 |
| 21-50 | -50 | 75 |
| 51-100 | 51 | 46 |
| 101-150 | 12 | -29 |
These are the final numbers, as both Men's finalists are top 10 players, and both Women's finalists are 21-50 ranked players. Now, my latest rankings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novak Djokovic | 2014 | 64.45% |
| 2 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1911 | 35.55% |
| # | Name | ELO | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barbora Krejcikova | 1719 | 52.01% |
| 2 | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 1705 | 47.99% |
What do you think? I have 2 polls running on Twitter until the finals start where you can share your opinions.
My numbers have 🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic as a 64% favourite to win the #RolandGarros title over 🇬🇷 Stefanos Tsitsipas. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 11, 2021
My numbers have 🇨🇿 Barbora Krejcikova as a 52% favourite to win the #RolandGarros title over 🇷🇺 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 10, 2021
