Saturday, 29 January 2022

2022 Australian Open Final Update

The semi finals of the Australian Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the final match of the tournament.


Australian Open logo, © Australian Open
Australian Open logo, © Australian Open


View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:

Rank± Men± Wmn
1-1061-18
11-203133
21-503911
51-100-6912
101-150-1226

Both Men's finalists are top 10 players, so those number won't change, but the Women's finalists are top 10 and 11-20, so those number will change after the final.

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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:

# Name ELO Win %
1 Rafael Nadal 2015 58.41%
2 Daniil Medvedev 1956 41.59%

And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:

# Name ELO Win %
1 Ashleigh Barty 1965 75.91%
2 Danielle Collins 1765 24.09%

What do you think? I have polls running on Twitter for both of these matches, they are open until the scheduled match start.