Wednesday, 26 January 2022

2022 Australian Open Semi Finals Update

The quarter finals of the Australian Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.


Australian Open logo, © Australian Open
Australian Open logo, © Australian Open


View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:

Rank± Men± Wmn
1-1061-22
11-203133
21-503916
51-100-6912
101-150-1226

All 4 Men's semi-finalists are top 10 players, so those number won't change, but the Women's semi-finalists are in the 1st 3 categories, so those number will change over the next few days.

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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:

# Name ELO R6 % R7 %
1 Matteo Berrettini 1828 25.98% 10.00%
2 Rafael Nadal 2010 74.02% 47.04%
3 Stefanos Tsitsipas 1840 34.71% 11.66%
4 Daniil Medvedev 1949 65.29% 31.31%

And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:

# Name ELO R6 % R7 %
1 Ashleigh Barty 1961 79.84% 59.33%
2 Madison Keys 1722 20.16% 8.53%
3 Danielle Collins 1754 44.46% 13.19%
4 Iga Swiatek 1793 55.54% 18.95%