The semi finals of the French Open have finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 63 | -62 |
| 11-20 | -5 | -5 |
| 21-50 | -18 | 143 |
| 51-100 | -2 | -3 |
| 101-150 | 35 | -25 |
Both of the Men's finalists are top 10 players, so those numbers are fixed, but both Women's finalists are in different categories (top 10 and 21-50), so those numbers will change tomorrow.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Nadal | 2032 | 74.87% |
| 2 | Casper Ruud | 1842 | 25.13% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # | Name | ELO | R7 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iga Swiatek | 1954 | 75.29% |
| 2 | Coco Gauff | 1761 | 24.71% |
What do you think? I have a couple of polls open on Twitter to get your thoughts on these numbers. Polls will remain open until play starts.
My numbers have 🇪🇸 Rafael Nadal as a 75% favourite over 🇳🇴 Casper Ruud to win the #RolandGarros men's singles title. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 3, 2022
My numbers have 🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek as a 75% favourite over 🇺🇸 Coco Gauff to win the #RolandGarros women's singles title. Should it be higher, lower or have I got it right?
— Tennis ELO Rankings (@tennis_elo) June 2, 2022
