The quarter finals of the French Open have finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 55 | -67 |
| 11-20 | -5 | 0 |
| 21-50 | -11 | 138 |
| 51-100 | -2 | -3 |
| 101-150 | 35 | -21 |
3 of the Men's semi-finalists are top 10 players, but Marin Cilic was a 21-50 ranked player pre-tournament. All 4 Women's semi-finalists are in different categories (top 10, 11-20, 21-50 and 101-150), so these numbers will change over the next few days.
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Rafael Nadal |
2025 |
66.05% |
51.81% |
| 2 |
Alexander Zverev |
1909 |
33.95% |
22.21% |
| 3 |
Casper Ruud |
1835 |
66.53% |
19.97% |
| 4 |
Marin Cilic |
1716 |
33.47% |
6.01% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1949 |
74.93% |
59.12% |
| 2 |
Daria Kasatkina |
1759 |
25.07% |
14.19% |
| 3 |
Martina Trevisan |
1549 |
23.32% |
2.93% |
| 4 |
Coco Gauff |
1756 |
76.68% |
23.75% |
