Thursday 10 September 2020

2020 US Open Semi Finals Update

The quarter finals of the US Open finished today, so let's take a look at how that impacted my rankings of the players still in. Now we're at the semi final stage, I'm also going to take a look at the best performers at the tournament, and to add some prediction percentages for the final and the title, based on my ratings.

US Open logo, © US Open

View my week 2 tournament predictions for the Men and the Women here, but before the latest rankings, some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:

Men's Rank± ELO
1-1037
11-20-4
21-5053
51-10014
101-150-79

Women's Rank± ELO
1-1015
11-2024
21-5052
51-100-38
101-150-21


The current leaders in the Player of the tournament awards (given for the players who gain the most ELO rating points) are Pablo Carreno Busta (+42) and Tsvetana Pironkova (+47).

Carreno Busta will win the award if he wins his next match, or if Dominic Thiem wins the title, otherwise it goes to whoever wins the US Open. Victoria Azarenka can win the award if she wins the title, otherwise Jennifer Brady can take it by winning her semi-final, if neither of these happen then the award is Pironkova's.

Now, my latest ratings and predictions:

Men's:

#NameELOFinal %Win %
4Pablo Carreno Busta171238.56%11.97%
2Alexander Zverev179361.44%25.61%
3Daniil Medvedev181641.41%23.88%
1Dominic Thiem187758.59%38.53%

Women's:

#NameELOFinal %Win %
4Jennifer Brady167025.70%7.57%
1Naomi Osaka185474.30%40.28%
2Serena Williams185963.64%36.24%
3Victoria Azarenka176236.36%15.90%