The 3rd round of the French Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
 |
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 74 | -74 |
| 11-20 | 10 | -4 |
| 21-50 | -35 | 174 |
| 51-100 | -15 | 0 |
| 101-150 | 36 | -48 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Novak Djokovic |
2011 |
83.15% |
46.44% |
31.80% |
22.39% |
| 2 |
Diego Schwartzman |
1734 |
16.85% |
3.79% |
1.19% |
0.40% |
| 3 |
Felix Auger-Aliassime |
1756 |
18.67% |
4.57% |
1.56% |
0.56% |
| 4 |
Rafael Nadal |
2011 |
81.33% |
45.20% |
30.95% |
21.79% |
| 5 |
Alexander Zverev |
1898 |
91.32% |
53.73% |
20.04% |
11.16% |
| 6 |
Bernabe Zapata Miralles |
1489 |
8.68% |
1.14% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 7 |
Karen Khachanov |
1693 |
25.53% |
7.16% |
1.16% |
0.33% |
| 8 |
Carlos Alcaraz |
1879 |
74.47% |
37.96% |
13.23% |
7.01% |
| 9 |
Casper Ruud |
1823 |
61.23% |
29.24% |
13.33% |
4.25% |
| 10 |
Hubert Hurkacz |
1744 |
38.77% |
14.55% |
5.10% |
1.18% |
| 11 |
Holger Rune |
1595 |
16.19% |
3.98% |
0.76% |
0.09% |
| 12 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas |
1881 |
83.81% |
52.23% |
27.99% |
10.95% |
| 13 |
Andrey Rublev |
1819 |
52.70% |
22.81% |
10.92% |
3.42% |
| 14 |
Jannik Sinner |
1800 |
47.30% |
19.31% |
8.74% |
2.55% |
| 15 |
Marin Cilic |
1687 |
21.26% |
7.02% |
2.15% |
0.39% |
| 16 |
Daniil Medvedev |
1914 |
78.74% |
50.86% |
31.02% |
13.52% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1942 |
90.40% |
68.81% |
54.52% |
43.25% |
| 2 |
Zheng Qinwen |
1552 |
9.60% |
2.58% |
0.75% |
0.23% |
| 3 |
Jessica Pegula |
1778 |
71.10% |
23.38% |
14.02% |
8.45% |
| 4 |
Irina-Camelia Begu |
1622 |
28.90% |
5.23% |
1.99% |
0.77% |
| 5 |
Veronika Kudermetova |
1714 |
54.37% |
27.78% |
8.15% |
4.19% |
| 6 |
Madison Keys |
1684 |
45.63% |
21.36% |
5.58% |
2.63% |
| 7 |
Daria Kasatkina |
1743 |
64.46% |
36.16% |
11.77% |
6.53% |
| 8 |
Camila Giorgi |
1639 |
35.54% |
14.70% |
3.22% |
1.32% |
| 9 |
Martina Trevisan |
1522 |
31.13% |
7.34% |
2.01% |
0.31% |
| 10 |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich |
1659 |
68.87% |
27.76% |
12.56% |
3.45% |
| 11 |
Leylah Fernandez |
1676 |
37.98% |
22.06% |
10.49% |
3.07% |
| 12 |
Amanda Anisimova |
1761 |
62.02% |
42.84% |
25.48% |
9.99% |
| 13 |
Elise Mertens |
1689 |
42.53% |
23.81% |
11.64% |
3.58% |
| 14 |
Coco Gauff |
1741 |
57.47% |
36.29% |
20.37% |
7.50% |
| 15 |
Jil Teichmann |
1676 |
60.40% |
26.48% |
12.46% |
3.65% |
| 16 |
Sloane Stephens |
1603 |
39.60% |
13.42% |
4.99% |
1.09% |
