The 4th round of the French Open has finished, so let's take a look at how those results impacted my ratings of the players still in, and also how well I expect them to do for the rest of the tournament.
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View my pre-tournament predictions for the
Men and the
Women here. Who's doing better so far, the top players, or the lower ranked players? Some stats I calculated for the top 150 players:
| Rank | ± Men | ± Wmn |
|---|
| 1-10 | 65 | -72 |
| 11-20 | -5 | -3 |
| 21-50 | -24 | 155 |
| 51-100 | 2 | 4 |
| 101-150 | 35 | -35 |
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Now, my latest Men's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Novak Djokovic |
2015 |
49.95% |
33.43% |
25.68% |
| 2 |
Rafael Nadal |
2015 |
50.05% |
33.51% |
25.76% |
| 3 |
Alexander Zverev |
1900 |
52.29% |
17.79% |
11.28% |
| 4 |
Carlos Alcaraz |
1884 |
47.71% |
15.27% |
9.36% |
| 5 |
Casper Ruud |
1831 |
77.90% |
43.66% |
13.48% |
| 6 |
Holger Rune |
1612 |
22.10% |
6.02% |
0.69% |
| 7 |
Andrey Rublev |
1828 |
67.32% |
37.56% |
11.48% |
| 8 |
Marin Cilic |
1703 |
32.68% |
12.76% |
2.27% |
And my latest Women's ratings and predictions:
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Iga Swiatek |
1944 |
71.52% |
54.77% |
43.98% |
| 2 |
Jessica Pegula |
1784 |
28.48% |
16.12% |
10.06% |
| 3 |
Veronika Kudermetova |
1723 |
46.16% |
12.68% |
6.87% |
| 4 |
Daria Kasatkina |
1750 |
53.84% |
16.43% |
9.50% |
| 5 |
Martina Trevisan |
1535 |
29.33% |
8.10% |
1.20% |
| 6 |
Leylah Fernandez |
1688 |
70.67% |
33.38% |
9.54% |
| 7 |
Coco Gauff |
1750 |
68.54% |
44.06% |
15.79% |
| 8 |
Sloane Stephens |
1615 |
31.46% |
14.45% |
3.06% |
